The Effect of Abortion Legalization on the Incidence of Sexually Transmitted Diseases

Thomas Stratmann, Jonathan Klick
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Abstract

The risk of an unwanted pregnancy represents one of the major costs of sexual activity. When abortion was legalized in a number of states during the late 1960s and early 1970s (and nationally with the 1973 Supreme Court case of Roe v. Wade), this cost was reduced as women gained the option of terminating an unwanted pregnancy. We predict that abortion legalization led to an increase in sexual activity, accompanied by an increase in sexually transmitted diseases. Using CDC data on the incidence of gonorrhea and syphilis by state, we test the hypothesis that judicial and legislative decisions to legalize abortion lead to an increase in sexually transmitted diseases. We find that gonorrhea and syphilis incidences are significantly and positively correlated with abortion legalization. According to our estimates, abortion legalization might account for as much as one third of the average disease incidence.
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堕胎合法化对性传播疾病发病率的影响
意外怀孕的风险是性行为的主要代价之一。当堕胎在20世纪60年代末和70年代初在许多州合法化时(1973年最高法院的罗伊诉韦德案在全国范围内合法化),由于妇女获得了终止意外怀孕的选择,这一成本降低了。我们预测,堕胎合法化导致性活动增加,同时性传播疾病增加。利用疾病预防控制中心各州淋病和梅毒发病率的数据,我们检验了司法和立法决定使堕胎合法化导致性传播疾病增加的假设。我们发现淋病和梅毒的发病率与堕胎合法化呈显著正相关。根据我们的估计,堕胎合法化可能占平均疾病发病率的三分之一。
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