Long-term Changes in Precipitation Characteristics at Sturt Meadows, Western Australia

Katsuhiko Kurosawa, H. Suganuma, Shin-ichi Aikawa, S. Kawarasaki, H. Hamano, H. Utsugi, Y. Abe, T. Kojima, R. Harper, J. Luff, W. Stock, M. Lund, M. Bannister
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Abstract

Long-term changes in the precipitation data at Sturt Meadows were analyzed by the Mann-Kendall statistics and the Lepage test. Yearly and spring precipitation increased significantly from 1910 to 2008, and the significance levels were p < 0.10 and 0.01, respectively. The data of daily precipitation were classified into two groups (class 1-4 and 5) separated by the distribution of the data, and class 1-4 precipitation increased significantly. There were 4 significant-climatic jumps (1925-27, 1963, 1979-1982 and 1993) by results of the Lepage test. The averages of yearly precipitation during whole years and the latest period are 215.0 and 280.9 mm/year, respectively. The averages of monthly precipitation in February, October and November during the latest period (1993-2008) is higher than those in the previous periods. That in February during the latest period was especially heavy, when the mean precipitation in February was six times higher than that in the previous period. This change was attributed to the increase in the frequency of storm events in February during the latest period. Monthly precipitation exceeding 100 mm/month in February was recorded three times (1995, 2001 and 2006), and this occurred only 2 times in previous periods (1925 and 1975).
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西澳大利亚斯特草甸降水特征的长期变化
采用Mann-Kendall统计和Lepage检验分析了斯特梅多斯降水资料的长期变化。1910 ~ 2008年,年降水量和春季降水量显著增加,显著性水平分别为p < 0.10和0.01。日降水数据按数据分布划分为2组(1-4类和5类),1-4类降水显著增加。Lepage检验结果显示,有4次显著的气候跃变(1925- 27,1963,1979-1982和1993)。全年平均降水量为215.0 mm/年,最近期平均降水量为280.9 mm/年。1993-2008年2月、10月和11月的月平均降水量明显高于前几期。最近一段时间的2月份的降水尤其严重,2月份的平均降水量是前一段时间的6倍。这一变化归因于最近一段时间2月份风暴事件的频率增加。1995年、2001年和2006年有3次记录到2月份月降水量超过100毫米/月,而在之前的时期(1925年和1975年)仅有2次出现这种情况。
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