A Cost–Benefit Analysis of the COVID-19 Lockdown in Ireland

A. Ryan
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Since March 12th 2020, the Irish people have endured over 400 days of lockdown restrictions. To this day, the government has failed to present the benefits versus the costs of implementing such a draconian regime on the population of Ireland. This paper illustrates that the Quality-Adjusted Life Year (QALY) and Well-Being Year (WELLBY) metrics can be used to calculate the years of statistical lives saved as a result of the lockdown, and the statistical lives lost due to a reduction in wellbeing as a result of economic decline, increased unemployment, and social isolation. The probable scenario presented in this paper suggests that the costs of lockdown are 25 times greater than the benefits, including the cost of an additional 4,536 statistical lives.
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爱尔兰COVID-19封锁的成本效益分析
自2020年3月12日以来,爱尔兰人民已经忍受了400多天的封锁限制。直到今天,政府仍未能向爱尔兰人民展示实施这种严酷制度的收益与成本。本文说明质量调整生命年(QALY)和幸福(WELLBY)指标可用于计算统计的年生活保存为封锁的结果,和统计生命损失由于减少健康由于经济衰退,失业增加,和社会隔离。可能的场景提出了表明锁定25倍的成本大于收益,包括一个额外的成本4536统计的生活。
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