Analysis of the impact of tourism sector as a viable response to South Africa’s growth and development challenges

IF 1.8 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Millennium - Journal of International Studies Pub Date : 2019-03-30 DOI:10.14254/2071-8330.2019/12-1/11
Tanya van der Schyff, D. Meyer, Lorainne Ferreira
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引用次数: 22

Abstract

Tourism is one of the top-three foreign revenue generating economic sectors globally, representing the total of 7% in the overal global exports. Overall weak economic and sectoral performance stresses the need for a strong alternative economic sector development so that to support traditional growth sectors which could potentially increase economic growth and development in South Africa. The aim of this study was to analyse the impact of the tourism sector on both economic growth and development in South Africa. There is a gap in literature on the extent and impact of tourism on economic development specifically. This study followes a quantitative research approach by investigating the relationship between tourism and economic growth in the period from 2005 to 2017, as well as tourism and economic development in the period from 1996 to 2016 in South Africa. These relationships were analysed by means of the Johansen cointegration and Vector Error Correction Models. The results indicate there is a long-run relationship between tourism and both economic growth and development. However, no short-run relationship can be validated between tourism and economic growth. A number of policy recommendations that could potentially contribute to the extension of the role of tourism in development include improved stability in the country and relaxation of current visa requirements.
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分析旅游业的影响,作为对南非增长和发展挑战的可行反应
旅游业是全球三大对外创收经济部门之一,占全球出口总额的7%。整体经济和部门表现疲弱,强调需要强有力的替代经济部门发展,以便支持可能增加南非经济增长和发展的传统增长部门。这项研究的目的是分析旅游部门对南非经济增长和发展的影响。关于旅游业对经济发展的具体程度和影响,文献中存在空白。本研究采用定量研究方法,考察了南非2005年至2017年旅游与经济增长的关系,以及1996年至2016年旅游与经济发展的关系。这些关系通过约翰森协整和矢量误差校正模型进行了分析。研究结果表明,旅游业与经济增长和发展之间存在着长期的关系。然而,旅游业和经济增长之间没有短期的关系。一些可能有助于扩大旅游业在发展中的作用的政策建议包括改善该国的稳定和放宽目前的签证要求。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
3.10
自引率
8.00%
发文量
17
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