Development of yield prediction system based on real-time agricultural meteorological information

Haedong Lee, Aekyung Moon
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

This paper contains about the research and the building of an effective agricultural yield forecasting system based on real-time monthly weather. It is difficult to predict the agricultural crop production because of the abnormal weather that happens every year and rapid regional climate change due to global warming. The development of agricultural yield forecasting system that leverages real-time weather information is urgently required. In this research, we cover how to process the number of weather data(monthly, daily) and how to configure the prediction system. We establish a non-parametric statistical model on the basis of 33 years of agricultural weather information. According to the implemented model, we predict final production using the monthly weather information. This paper contains the results of the simulation.
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基于实时农业气象信息的产量预测系统开发
本文研究并建立了一个有效的基于实时月度天气的农业产量预报系统。由于每年发生的异常天气和全球变暖导致的快速区域气候变化,使农业作物产量难以预测。开发利用实时天气信息的农业产量预报系统是迫切需要的。在本研究中,我们介绍了如何处理天气数据的数量(月、日)和如何配置预测系统。以33年农业气象资料为基础,建立了非参数统计模型。根据所实现的模型,我们利用每月的天气信息来预测最终的产量。本文给出了仿真结果。
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