Exploring Industrial Evolution with Correlation Analysis and Smoothing Forecasting: A Case of Marine Industry in Guangdong Province of South China

Wuxing Chen, Weiwen Zhang, Kaixiang Yang, Dacheng Zheng, Lianglun Cheng
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Abstract

Marine industry occupies a tremendous position in the economy of south China's Guangdong province. While effectively promoting its sustainable development of marine enterprises, Guangdong province still needs to comprehend its dynamic process and exploration of continuous optimization pathways of marine industry systems, for making corresponding structural adjustments. To achieve this goal, this paper establishes a model to systematically analyze the correlation between the evolution of its marine industry and the factors that affect the evolution of the industry from the time series dimension.Upon this, we further predict the future direction of its evolution. The experimental results show that the proposed method permits a certain scientific validation, which demonstrates comprehensive relationships between marine enterprises in Guangdong province. Moreover, evolution analysis is provided for the coordination relationships between factors within the enterprises. Both inter-enterprise and intra-enterprise analysis would provide insights for the structural adjustments and the development of marine industry in Guangdong province.
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基于相关分析和平滑预测的产业演化研究——以广东省海洋产业为例
海洋产业在广东省经济中占有重要地位。广东省在有效推进海洋企业可持续发展的同时,还需要了解海洋产业体系的动态过程,探索海洋产业体系的持续优化路径,进行相应的结构调整。为实现这一目标,本文建立了一个模型,从时间序列维度系统分析其海洋产业演化与影响产业演化因素之间的相关性。在此基础上,我们进一步预测其未来的发展方向。实验结果表明,本文提出的方法具有一定的科学有效性,反映了广东省海洋企业之间的综合关系。并对企业内部各因素之间的协调关系进行了演化分析。企业间分析和企业内部分析都将为广东省海洋产业的结构调整和发展提供参考。
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