Bibliometric Analysis of Urban Carrying Capacity: History, Current Status, Development and Future Direction

Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI:10.5530/jscires.12.1.005
Jay Vineshbhai Tailor, R. Tailor
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Abstract

For stable functioning of an urban area, a balance between natural resources, urban infrastructure, and population is very much required. That’s where concept of carrying capacity comes into the picture to find out limitation and current overloading on natural resources and urban infrastructure. In this study to understand growth of research work on Urban Carrying Capacity (UCC) from seed to tree, a thorough bibliometric analysis has been done in R language-based software package called Biblioshiny which is an online web-based data analysis framework. Analysis has been done for the time span of 1978 to 2021, from which 327 manually filtered documents have been selected. The results show that (1) since 1978, papers on UCC are gradually increasing. This time span is divided into low production period, stable production period and rapid production period (2) UCC research covers 28 countries, out of which China, Indonesia and USA are the top three. In which China is having the most number of papers and collaboration with other countries (3) Sustainable development, ecological carrying capacity, ecological footprint, environment carrying capacity, water resources and analytical hierarchy process are the high-frequency keywords used in recent years (4) Mostly papers are focused on single factors based studies (land-based, water-based, air-based, infrastructure-based) and low numbers papers are on comprehensive analysis. Finally, study conclude that future scope on UCC includes strengthening existing definition and theory of carrying capacity, introducing new technology and model in the system like artificial intelligence, work on more comprehensive analysis than single-factor analysis and constructing a practical planning policy.
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城市承载能力文献计量分析:历史、现状、发展与未来方向
一个城市区域的稳定运行,需要自然资源、城市基础设施和人口之间的平衡。这就是承载能力的概念出现的地方,以找出限制和目前对自然资源和城市基础设施的超载。为了了解城市承载能力(UCC)研究工作从种子到树的成长过程,本研究在基于R语言的软件包Biblioshiny中进行了全面的文献计量分析,这是一个基于web的在线数据分析框架。对1978年至2021年的时间跨度进行了分析,从中选择了327个手动过滤的文档。结果表明:(1)1978年以来,关于UCC的论文逐渐增多。这一时间段分为低产期、稳产期和快速产期。(2)UCC研究覆盖28个国家,其中中国、印度尼西亚和美国排名前三。(3)可持续发展、生态承载力、生态足迹、环境承载力、水资源和层次分析法是近年来使用频率较高的关键词;(4)基于单因素(陆基、水基、空基、基础设施)的研究较多,综合分析的论文较少。最后,研究认为未来UCC研究的范围包括加强现有的承载力定义和理论,在系统中引入人工智能等新技术和新模型,进行比单因素分析更全面的分析,以及构建切实可行的规划政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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