Open system model of choice and response time

IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI:10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100453
Gunnar P. Epping , Peter D. Kvam , Timothy J. Pleskac , Jerome R. Busemeyer
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Abstract

Sequential sampling models have provided accurate accounts of people’s choice, response time, and preference strength in value-based decision-making tasks. Conventionally, these models are developed as Markov-type models (such as random walks or diffusion models) following the Kolmogorov axioms. Quantum probability theory has been proposed as an alternative framework upon which to develop models of cognition, including quantum random walk models. When modeling people’s behavior during decision-making tasks, previous work has demonstrated that both the Markov and quantum models have their respective strengths. Recently, the open system model, which is a hybrid version of the Markov and quantum models, has been shown to provide a more accurate account of preference strength compared to the Markov and quantum models in isolation. In this work, we extend the open system model to make predictions on pairwise choice and response time. We report a new experiment on preferential choice between gift cards, and we compare the fits of the open system model to the pure Markov and pure quantum random walk models using AIC, BIC, and χ2 tests. Although the pure Markov model was favored for most participants, a substantial number required the more complex open system model.

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开放系统模型的选择和响应时间
顺序抽样模型提供了人们在基于价值的决策任务中的选择、反应时间和偏好强度的准确描述。通常,这些模型是按照Kolmogorov公理开发的马尔可夫型模型(如随机漫步或扩散模型)。量子概率论已被提出作为发展认知模型的替代框架,包括量子随机行走模型。在对人们在决策任务中的行为进行建模时,之前的工作已经证明,马尔可夫模型和量子模型都有各自的优势。最近,开放系统模型是马尔可夫模型和量子模型的混合版本,与孤立的马尔可夫模型和量子模型相比,它提供了更准确的偏好强度描述。在这项工作中,我们扩展了开放系统模型,以对两两选择和响应时间进行预测。我们报告了一个关于礼品卡之间优先选择的新实验,并使用AIC, BIC和χ2检验比较了开放系统模型与纯马尔可夫和纯量子随机漫步模型的拟合。尽管大多数参与者青睐纯马尔可夫模型,但仍有相当数量的参与者需要更复杂的开放系统模型。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
12.50%
发文量
31
期刊最新文献
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