The contribution of survival to changes in the net reproduction rate.

IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI:10.1080/00324728.2023.2187441
Tianyu Shen, Ester Lazzari, Vladimir Canudas-Romo
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Abstract

The net reproduction rate (NRR) is an alternative fertility measure to the more common total fertility rate (TFR) and accounts for the mortality context of the population studied. This study is the first to compare NRR trends in high- and low-income countries and to decompose NRR changes over time into fertility and survival components. The results show that changes in the NRR have been driven mostly by changes in fertility. Yet improvements in survival have also played an important role in explaining changes in the NRR over the last century and represent a substantial component of change in some low-income countries today. Furthermore, the decomposition of the survival component by age indicates that the survival effect on population reproduction is concentrated mostly in infancy, although the HIV/AIDS epidemic altered this age profile in some populations. The findings highlight the importance of mortality's effect on reproduction in specific periods and contexts.

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生存对净繁殖率变化的贡献。
净繁殖率(NRR)是一种替代更常见的总生育率(TFR)的生育措施,并说明所研究人口的死亡率情况。这项研究首次比较了高收入国家和低收入国家的NRR趋势,并将NRR随时间的变化分解为生育和生存组成部分。结果表明,NRR的变化主要是由生育率的变化驱动的。然而,生存的改善也在解释上个世纪NRR的变化方面发挥了重要作用,并且是当今一些低收入国家变化的重要组成部分。此外,按年龄对生存部分的分解表明,生存对人口再生产的影响主要集中在婴儿期,尽管艾滋病毒/艾滋病的流行改变了某些人口的这种年龄分布。研究结果强调了在特定时期和背景下,死亡率对生殖的影响的重要性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
4.20%
发文量
30
期刊介绍: For over half a century, Population Studies has reported significant advances in methods of demographic analysis, conceptual and mathematical theories of demographic dynamics and behaviour, and the use of these theories and methods to extend scientific knowledge and to inform policy and practice. The Journal"s coverage of this field is comprehensive: applications in developed and developing countries; historical and contemporary studies; quantitative and qualitative studies; analytical essays and reviews. The subjects of papers range from classical concerns, such as the determinants and consequences of population change, to such topics as family demography and evolutionary and genetic influences on demographic behaviour.
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