The Influence of Partnership Status on Fertility Intentions of Childless Women and Men Across European Countries.

Nadia Sturm, Judith C Koops, Roberta Rutigliano
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Abstract

The absence of a suitable partner is the most frequently given reason for unmet fertility intentions across European countries while having a partner is positively associated with the intention to have a child. However, once this relationship is framed within a life-course approach, existing evidence is mixed and inconclusive. The norm to have children within a stable relationship and norms regarding the timing of childbirth are acknowledged in many contemporary societies. Therefore, the presence of a partner might have a stronger effect on fertility intentions around the social deadline for fertility, which could explain the mixed findings in previous research. This article analyses how fertility intentions are influenced by partnership status and how this relationship varies by age and across countries. We use data from the first wave of the Generations and Gender Survey to analyse a sample of childless men and women aged 18-45 years from 12 European countries. We implement logistic regression models to investigate the influence of having a partner on fertility intentions during the life course. Previous studies found that the positive influence of having a partner either decreases across the life course or does not vary significantly. This study reveals that the positive association between partnership and fertility intentions increases from the age of 18, proving that whether someone is in a partnership becomes more influential at later stages in life. After a certain age threshold, which varies across countries and gender, this positive association either turns insignificant, remains positive, or reverses.

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伴侣身份对欧洲各国无子女女性和男性生育意愿的影响。
在欧洲各国,没有合适的伴侣是生育意愿未得到满足的最常见原因,而有伴侣则与生育意愿呈正相关。然而,一旦从生命历程的角度来看待这种关系,现有的证据则喜忧参半,没有定论。在许多当代社会中,在稳定的关系中生育子女的规范和关于生育时间的规范都得到了认可。因此,在生育的社会最后期限前后,伴侣的存在可能会对生育意愿产生更大的影响,这也可以解释之前的研究结果喜忧参半的原因。本文分析了生育意愿如何受到伴侣身份的影响,以及这种关系如何因年龄和国家而异。我们利用第一波 "世代与性别调查 "的数据,分析了来自 12 个欧洲国家的 18-45 岁无子女男女样本。我们采用逻辑回归模型来研究在生命过程中,有伴侣对生育意愿的影响。以往的研究发现,在人的一生中,有伴侣的积极影响要么会减弱,要么变化不大。本研究发现,伴侣关系与生育意愿之间的正相关从 18 岁开始增加,这证明是否有伴侣在人生的晚期阶段影响更大。过了一定的年龄门槛(因国家和性别而异)后,这种正相关要么变得不显著,要么保持正相关,要么发生逆转。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
8.00%
发文量
44
期刊介绍: European Journal of Population addresses a broad public of researchers, policy makers and others concerned with population processes and their consequences. Its aim is to improve understanding of population phenomena by giving priority to work that contributes to the development of theory and method, and that spans the boundaries between demography and such disciplines as sociology, anthropology, economics, geography, history, political science, epidemiology and other sciences contributing to public health. The Journal is open to authors from all over the world, and its articles cover European and non-European countries (specifically including developing countries) alike.
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