C-reactive protein/albumin and ferritin as predictive markers for severity and mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Abstract

Introduction: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a life-threatening gastrointestinal disease with high mortality and morbidity. However, scoring systems or prognostic indicators for assessing AP are cumbersome and expensive, and have not proved accurately to predict outcomes.

Aim: We conducted a study with the aim of evaluating the predictive accuracy of C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin and ferritin regarding outcomes in patients with AP.

Material and methods: A prospective study was conducted in a tertiary care referral centre in Odisha from March 2020 to April 2021. A total of 116 consecutive patients of AP were enrolled in the study. CTSI, APACHE II, ferritin, and the CRP/albumin ratio were calculated.

Results: The mean age of patients was 40.63 ±5.49 years with a male predominance (73%). Alcohol was most common aetiology (46.6%), and the overall mortality was 18%. Mean ferritin and the CRP/albumin ratio were also significantly higher in severe AP as compared to moderately severe AP and mild AP (p < 0.001). The CRP/albumin ratio (AOR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.02-1.56, p = 0.02) was found to be independent predictor of mortality in Cox regression multivariate analysis and had the highest AUC for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis. Serum ferritin had higher AUC (0.89, 0.83-0.91, p < 0.001) for the development of necrosis in acute pancreatitis, but it failed to be proven as an independent predictor of mortality.

Conclusions: CRP/albumin is a simple, cheap, and easily available biomarker predicting the development of severe pancreatitis, and it was found to be an independent predictor of mortality in AP.