Sarah B Henderson, Kathleen E McLean, Yue Ding, Jiayun Yao, Nikita Saha Turna, David McVea, Tom Kosatsky
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We used a time-stratified case-crossover design to estimate the effect of temperature on the risk of death associated with acute drug toxicity during the warmer months (May through September). Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for each 10°C increase in the 2-day average maximum temperature at the residential location.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We included 4913 deaths in the analyses. A 10°C increase in the 2-day average maximum temperature was associated with an OR of 1.43 (95% CI 1.11-1.86) for deaths with only cocaine toxicity recorded (<i>n</i> = 561), an OR of 1.15 (95% CI 0.99-1.33) for deaths with opioids only (<i>n</i> = 1682) and an OR of 1.11 (95% CI 0.60-2.04) for deaths with amphetamines only (<i>n</i> = 133). There were also elevated effects when toxicity from multiple drugs was recorded. Sensitivity analyses showed differences in the ORs by sex, by climatic region, and when the location of death was used instead of the location of residence.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Increasing temperatures were associated with higher odds of death due to drug toxicity, especially for cocaine alone and combined with other drugs. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
背景:以前的研究表明,与可卡因有关的死亡在炎热的天气中更频繁地发生,而其他非法药物或药物组合没有描述这种情况。研究目的是评估加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省气温与可卡因、类阿片和安非他明相关死亡风险之间的关系。方法:我们从1998-2017年不列颠哥伦比亚省生命统计数据中提取了所有因可卡因、阿片类药物或安非他明中毒而死亡的潜在或促成原因的数据。我们采用时间分层病例交叉设计来估计温度对温暖月份(5月至9月)与急性药物毒性相关的死亡风险的影响。对居住地2天平均最高温度每升高10°C的比值比(ORs)和95%置信区间(ci)进行了估计。结果:我们将4913例死亡纳入分析。对于仅记录可卡因毒性的死亡(n = 561), 2天平均最高温度升高10°C的OR为1.43 (95% CI 1.11-1.86),对于仅记录阿片类药物毒性的死亡(n = 1682), OR为1.15 (95% CI 0.99-1.33),对于仅记录安非他明毒性的死亡(n = 133), OR为1.11 (95% CI 0.60-2.04)。当记录多种药物的毒性时,效果也会升高。敏感性分析显示,性别、气候区域以及使用死亡地点而不是居住地时,ORs存在差异。解释:温度升高与药物毒性导致的死亡几率增加有关,特别是单独使用可卡因和与其他药物联合使用时。有针对性的干预措施是必要的,以防止在炎热天气中与有毒药物使用有关的死亡。
Hot weather and death related to acute cocaine, opioid and amphetamine toxicity in British Columbia, Canada: a time-stratified case-crossover study.
Background: Previous research has shown that cocaine-associated deaths occur more frequently in hot weather, which has not been described for other illicit drugs or combinations of drugs. The study objective was to evaluate the relation between temperature and risk of death related to cocaine, opioids and amphetamines in British Columbia, Canada.
Methods: We extracted data on all deaths with cocaine, opioid or amphetamine toxicity recorded as an underlying or contributing cause from BC vital statistics for 1998-2017. We used a time-stratified case-crossover design to estimate the effect of temperature on the risk of death associated with acute drug toxicity during the warmer months (May through September). Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for each 10°C increase in the 2-day average maximum temperature at the residential location.
Results: We included 4913 deaths in the analyses. A 10°C increase in the 2-day average maximum temperature was associated with an OR of 1.43 (95% CI 1.11-1.86) for deaths with only cocaine toxicity recorded (n = 561), an OR of 1.15 (95% CI 0.99-1.33) for deaths with opioids only (n = 1682) and an OR of 1.11 (95% CI 0.60-2.04) for deaths with amphetamines only (n = 133). There were also elevated effects when toxicity from multiple drugs was recorded. Sensitivity analyses showed differences in the ORs by sex, by climatic region, and when the location of death was used instead of the location of residence.
Interpretation: Increasing temperatures were associated with higher odds of death due to drug toxicity, especially for cocaine alone and combined with other drugs. Targeted interventions are necessary to prevent death associated with toxic drug use during hot weather.