利用网络结构提高池化测试效率

IF 1 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C-Applied Statistics Pub Date : 2022-09-16 DOI:10.1111/rssc.12594
Daniel K. Sewell
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引用次数: 2

摘要

筛查是控制感染的有力工具,可以识别和隔离有症状或无症状的感染个体。然而,定期和全面筛查的资源负担往往令人望而却步。解决这一问题的一个这样的措施是集合测试,即每组个体都接受一个复合测试;如果一个组的诊断测试结果呈阳性,则该组的成员将分别接受测试。传染病是通过传播网络传播的,本文展示了如何基于这个底层网络将个体分配到池中,从而提高池检测策略的效率,从而减少资源负担。我们设计了一种模拟退火算法,通过期望正确分类数与期望执行的测试数之比来提高池测试效率。然后,我们使用基于代理的模型评估了我们的方法,该模型旨在模拟SARS-CoV-2在学校环境中的传播。我们的结果表明,我们的方法可以减少定期筛选学生群体所需的测试次数,并且这些减少对于基于部分观察到的或有噪声的网络版本分配池非常稳健。
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Leveraging network structure to improve pooled testing efficiency

Screening is a powerful tool for infection control, allowing for infectious individuals, whether they be symptomatic or asymptomatic, to be identified and isolated. The resource burden of regular and comprehensive screening can often be prohibitive, however. One such measure to address this is pooled testing, whereby groups of individuals are each given a composite test; should a group receive a positive diagnostic test result, those comprising the group are then tested individually. Infectious disease is spread through a transmission network, and this paper shows how assigning individuals to pools based on this underlying network can improve the efficiency of the pooled testing strategy, thereby reducing the resource burden. We designed a simulated annealing algorithm to improve the pooled testing efficiency as measured by the ratio of the expected number of correct classifications to the expected number of tests performed. We then evaluated our approach using an agent-based model designed to simulate the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in a school setting. Our results suggest that our approach can decrease the number of tests required to regularly screen the student body, and that these reductions are quite robust to assigning pools based on partially observed or noisy versions of the network.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
76
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics) is a journal of international repute for statisticians both inside and outside the academic world. The journal is concerned with papers which deal with novel solutions to real life statistical problems by adapting or developing methodology, or by demonstrating the proper application of new or existing statistical methods to them. At their heart therefore the papers in the journal are motivated by examples and statistical data of all kinds. The subject-matter covers the whole range of inter-disciplinary fields, e.g. applications in agriculture, genetics, industry, medicine and the physical sciences, and papers on design issues (e.g. in relation to experiments, surveys or observational studies). A deep understanding of statistical methodology is not necessary to appreciate the content. Although papers describing developments in statistical computing driven by practical examples are within its scope, the journal is not concerned with simply numerical illustrations or simulation studies. The emphasis of Series C is on case-studies of statistical analyses in practice.
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