学员和青少年的柔道成绩与老年人的世界锦标赛和奥运会成绩有关。

IF 1.4 4区 教育学 Q3 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-01-24 DOI:10.1080/02701367.2022.2147477
Marcelo Naname Junior, João Paulo Lopes-Silva, Monica Yuri Takito, Emerson Franchini
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:我们要确定学员和青少年柔道世界锦标赛的参赛情况和奖牌获得情况是否能预测老年人在世界锦标赛(WC)和奥运会(OG)上的表现。方法我们回顾性地分析了 2009 年至 2021 年间参加 OG 和 WC 少年组、青年组和成年组比赛的 7780 名运动员。结果与未获得奖牌的运动员相比,获得高级组(WC 和 OG,以及仅获得 WC)奖牌的学员获得奖牌的概率增加了 4.3 至 4.5 不等,而在学员 WC 中,获得奖牌的男子运动员获得奖牌的概率保持在 3.3 至 3.8 左右,女子运动员获得奖牌的概率保持在 5.3 至 5.4 左右。此外,在高级组(WC 和 OG)获得奖牌的几率是初级 WC 非奖牌获得者的 8.1-8.5 倍。反过来,没有参加过青少年组比赛的运动员在老年组(WC)中获得奖牌的概率是未参加过青少年组比赛运动员的 1.5-1.7 倍。在 OG 中,获得奖牌的运动员获得奖牌的概率是未获得奖牌的运动员的 3.5 倍。结论因此,作为学员或青少年世界锦标赛奖牌获得者,获得高级世界锦标赛或奥运会奖牌的概率会增加。
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Cadet and Junior Performance Is Associated With Senior's World Championship and Olympics Achievement in Judo.

Purpose: We determined whether cadet and junior Judo World Championship participation and medal achievement would predict senior performance at World Championship (WC) and Olympic Games (OG). Methods: We analyzed retrospectively a total of 7780 athletes who competed at the OG and WC in the cadet, junior, and senior between 2009 and 2021. Results: There was an increase in the probability of winning a medal in the senior category (WC and OG, and only WC) ranged from 4.3 to 4.5 for medal-winning cadets compared to non-medalists and this probability remained around 3.3-3.8 for medalists in the male and 5.3-5.4 for the female medalists in cadet WC. Moreover, the chance of winning a medal in the senior category (WC and OG) was 8.1-8.5 times greater for medalists when compared to non-medalists in the junior WC. In turn, the probability of winning a medal in the senior (WC) was 1.5-1.7 times greater for athletes who did not compete in the junior WC. In the OG, the probability of winning a medal was 3.5 greater times for medalists when compared to non-medalists at cadet and junior WC. Conclusion: Thus, being a cadet or junior WC medalist increases the probability of winning a senior WC or an Olympic medal.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
125
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport publishes research in the art and science of human movement that contributes significantly to the knowledge base of the field as new information, reviews, substantiation or contradiction of previous findings, development of theory, or as application of new or improved techniques. The goals of RQES are to provide a scholarly outlet for knowledge that: (a) contributes to the study of human movement, particularly its cross-disciplinary and interdisciplinary nature; (b) impacts theory and practice regarding human movement; (c) stimulates research about human movement; and (d) provides theoretical reviews and tutorials related to the study of human movement. The editorial board, associate editors, and external reviewers assist the editor-in-chief. Qualified reviewers in the appropriate subdisciplines review manuscripts deemed suitable. Authors are usually advised of the decision on their papers within 75–90 days.
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