用ARDL方法分析柬埔寨的经济增长

Andi Priyanto, Achariya Chanthavy
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摘要

本研究试图找出与柬埔寨经济成长相关的几个变数之间的长期与短期关系,例如二氧化碳排放量、网路读写能力与教育。我们使用世界银行作为统计数据的补充来源,即2000年至2020年的数据。我们从我们的估计结果中得知,我们预测的要素,包括经济发展和网络素养,具有长期和短期的关联,以及经济增长和教育,其中在短期内网络素养对经济增长有显著的积极影响。与此相一致的是,教育水平对经济增长也有显著的正向影响。与今年的经济增长变量与前一年的经济增长之间存在统计上显著的负相关相反,二氧化碳排放与经济增长之间也存在关系。这表明,从短期和长期来看,提高互联网素养也将促进经济增长和教育水平。相比之下,二氧化碳排放量与代表柬埔寨经济增长的国内生产总值呈负相关。
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Representation of Economic Growth in Cambodia with The ARDL Approach
This study tries to find out how the long-term and short-term relationship between several variables related to economic growth such as CO2 emissions, internet literacy, and education in Cambodia. We use the World Bank as a supplementary source for statistics data, namely data from 2000 to 2020. We learn from our estimating findings that the elements we predicted, including economic development and internet literacy, have both long- and short-term associations, as well as economic growth and education, which in the short term internet literacy has a significant positive effect on economic growth. In line with that, the level of education also has a significant positive effect on economic growth. In contrast to the statistically significant inverse association between the economic growth variable for this year and the economic growth for the prior year, there is also a relationship between co2 emissions and economic growth. This shows that increasing internet literacy, in the short and long term will also increase economic growth, as well as education levels. In contrast, CO2 emissions have an inverse correlation with the gross domestic product which represents economic growth in Cambodia.
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