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Domestic Savings, Money Supply and Economic Growth In Sri Lanka 斯里兰卡的国内储蓄、货币供应与经济增长
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022004
Rachmawati Rachman, Abazin Sok
This study aims to investigate the impact of money supply, domestic savings and total debt ratio on economic growth.This study uses an annual research period of 48 years from 1972 to 2020 in Sri Lanka to estimate Sri Lanka's economic conditions and the impact of money supply, domestic savings, and debt-to-economy ratios in Sri Lanka. We use the second data in this study which is sourced from the world bank. This study uses the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis. We found that the domestic saving ratio can encourage economic growth in Sri Lanka in terms of loanable supply where the increase in the amount of savings, the increased loanable supply which has an impact on lowering interest rates so that investment can increase and economic growth can be encouraged to grow.
本研究旨在探讨货币供应量、国内储蓄和总负债率对经济增长的影响。本研究使用斯里兰卡从1972年到2020年的48年年度研究期来估计斯里兰卡的经济状况以及货币供应、国内储蓄和债务经济比对斯里兰卡的影响。我们在本研究中使用的第二个数据来自世界银行。本研究采用误差修正模型(ECM)分析。我们发现国内储蓄率可以鼓励斯里兰卡的经济增长,在可贷款供应方面,储蓄数量的增加,可贷款供应的增加对降低利率产生影响,从而增加投资,鼓励经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect Of The United States Of America And China Economic Policies On The Economy Of Malaysia 美国和中国经济政策对马来西亚经济的影响
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022007
Eny Lestari Widarni, Sebastiana Viphindrartin
Finding out how uncertainty affects macroeconomic indicators and the US and Chinese economic policy is the goal of this study, namely inflation, investment, and Brent oil prices on Malaysia's economic growth. The variables used are GDP, Inflation, Investment, and Brent Oil Prices. We used an annual research period from 1995 to 2020. The method used is Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). We discover that the unpredictability of the US and Chinese economic policies on Malaysia's economic development differs significantly. The uncertainty of US economic policy has a significant positive effect in the short term, but the uncertainty of China's economic policy in the long term has no effect. Investment variables and oil prices have an effect on economic growth in the first model, in the second model, it is found that investment has a significant effect on Malaysia's economic growth. However, inflation has a significant negative impact on Malaysia's economic growth in both models.
找出不确定性如何影响宏观经济指标和美国和中国的经济政策是本研究的目标,即通货膨胀,投资和布伦特原油价格对马来西亚经济增长的影响。使用的变量是GDP,通货膨胀,投资和布伦特原油价格。我们使用了从1995年到2020年的年度研究期。使用的方法是自回归分布滞后(ARDL)。我们发现,美国和中国经济政策对马来西亚经济发展的不可预测性存在显著差异。美国经济政策的不确定性在短期内具有显著的积极影响,而中国经济政策的不确定性在长期内没有影响。在第一个模型中,投资变量和油价对经济增长有影响,在第二个模型中,发现投资对马来西亚的经济增长有显著的影响。然而,通货膨胀对两种模式下的马来西亚经济增长都有显著的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Representation of Economic Growth in Cambodia with The ARDL Approach 用ARDL方法分析柬埔寨的经济增长
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022002
Andi Priyanto, Achariya Chanthavy
This study tries to find out how the long-term and short-term relationship between several variables related to economic growth such as CO2 emissions, internet literacy, and education in Cambodia. We use the World Bank as a supplementary source for statistics data, namely data from 2000 to 2020. We learn from our estimating findings that the elements we predicted, including economic development and internet literacy, have both long- and short-term associations, as well as economic growth and education, which in the short term internet literacy has a significant positive effect on economic growth. In line with that, the level of education also has a significant positive effect on economic growth. In contrast to the statistically significant inverse association between the economic growth variable for this year and the economic growth for the prior year, there is also a relationship between co2 emissions and economic growth. This shows that increasing internet literacy, in the short and long term will also increase economic growth, as well as education levels. In contrast, CO2 emissions have an inverse correlation with the gross domestic product which represents economic growth in Cambodia.
本研究试图找出与柬埔寨经济成长相关的几个变数之间的长期与短期关系,例如二氧化碳排放量、网路读写能力与教育。我们使用世界银行作为统计数据的补充来源,即2000年至2020年的数据。我们从我们的估计结果中得知,我们预测的要素,包括经济发展和网络素养,具有长期和短期的关联,以及经济增长和教育,其中在短期内网络素养对经济增长有显著的积极影响。与此相一致的是,教育水平对经济增长也有显著的正向影响。与今年的经济增长变量与前一年的经济增长之间存在统计上显著的负相关相反,二氧化碳排放与经济增长之间也存在关系。这表明,从短期和长期来看,提高互联网素养也将促进经济增长和教育水平。相比之下,二氧化碳排放量与代表柬埔寨经济增长的国内生产总值呈负相关。
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引用次数: 0
Investment In Human Capital In Promoting Economic Growth And The Importance Of Financial Inclusion In The Russian Economy 人力资本投资在促进经济增长中的作用以及普惠金融在俄罗斯经济中的重要性
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022010
Yara Issawi
This study aims to investigate human development and financial inclusion in Russia. The global bank provided the secondary data for this study, which covered the years 1990 to 2021. This study uses vector analysis. We found that the development of human capital in Russia not only promotes financial inclusion that drives the economy, but also provides a direct impetus to the growth of the Russian economy. The role of human capital is very important in today's modern human development. It is proven that human development through human capital investment provides awareness of the importance of financial inclusion and provides productive human qualities so as to be able to provide an impetus for growth in the economy.This research contributes to adding references related to financial studies and human development including human capital. This research contributes to providing a simulation and an overview of the importance of human capital investment in promoting economic growth and financial inclusion.
本研究旨在调查俄罗斯的人类发展和金融包容性。世界银行为这项研究提供了从1990年到2021年的辅助数据。本研究使用向量分析。我们发现,俄罗斯人力资本的发展不仅促进了普惠金融对经济的拉动作用,而且为俄罗斯经济增长提供了直接动力。在当今现代人类发展中,人力资本的作用十分重要。事实证明,通过人力资本投资实现人类发展,可以让人们意识到普惠金融的重要性,并提供富有成效的人力素质,从而能够为经济增长提供动力。本研究有助于增加与金融研究和人力发展(包括人力资本)相关的参考文献。本研究有助于模拟和概述人力资本投资在促进经济增长和普惠金融方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Pressure on Foreign Debt and Interest Rates on the Malaysian Economy, Is it True that the Money Supply Drives Economic Growth? 外债压力和利率对马来西亚经济的影响,货币供应推动经济增长是真的吗?
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022006
Refina Sawitri, Amaury Capdeville Chapuzet
The study aims to investigate foreign debt, interest rates, exchange rates, and economic growth in Malaysia. This study uses secondary data sourced from the world bank with an annual research period from 2000 to 2020. This research uses The data analysis method used in this research is the causal analysis method, namely the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). We found that external debt hinders Malaysia's economic growth, this is reinforced by a significant negative relationship both in the long and short term from interest rates which actually suppress economic growth. It is intriguing that there is a strong positive correlation between economic growth and foreign debt in the short term. While it is logical that foreign debt boosts growth temporarily, it eventually (in long term) weighs down the economy. Economic growth is driven by the strengthening of the exchange rate, but not the money supply in both the long and short term. The money supply actually only encourages economic growth in the short term but depresses the economy in the long run.
这项研究旨在调查马来西亚的外债、利率、汇率和经济增长。本研究使用的二手数据来自世界银行,研究周期为2000年至2020年。本研究使用的数据分析方法是因果分析法,即自回归分布滞后(ARDL)。我们发现外债阻碍了马来西亚的经济增长,这一点在长期和短期内都被利率显著的负相关关系所强化,而利率实际上抑制了经济增长。有趣的是,短期内经济增长与外债之间存在着强烈的正相关关系。虽然外债暂时促进经济增长是合乎逻辑的,但它最终(从长期来看)会拖累经济。经济增长是由汇率走强推动的,而不是长期和短期的货币供应。货币供应实际上只会在短期内促进经济增长,但在长期内会抑制经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
Threat of Corruption to Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Southeast Asia 腐败对东南亚外国直接投资和经济增长的威胁
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022005
Nehruddin Nehruddin, Askar Askar
This research aims might look into the dangers caused by corruption against foreign direct investment in Southeast Asia by using the supporting variables the investment of foreign direct in the shape like the economy expansion, data technology, also Trade Openness. The scope used in this study includes 2010 to 2020 using panel data, using annual data. The data used are data from Foreign Direct Investment that enters ASEAN countries, percentage data of internet users as an indicator of ICT, corruption perception index (CPI) as an indicator of perceptions of corruption, GDP (gross domestic product) data for indicator to the economic growth, and ratio data. International trade is an indicator of Trade Openness. The PLS technique testing procedure is initiated using construction by reconstruction incorporated into the PLS calculation. We found that the Increased of foreign direct investment (FDI) are indication by the international trust level in a country, including a reflection of financial transparency supported by information and communication technology. Financial transparency is reflected in the corruption perception index. Economic prospects as reflected in economic growth or GDP growth and trade openness. The better technology of information and communication, the higher the growth of economic and trade openness at the Southeast Asia region, and the more the growth of FDI in the Southeast Asia region. And conversely, the higher the level of corruption as reflected in the corruption perception index (CPI), the more depressed the growth of foreign direct investment at Southeast Asian region.
本研究的目的是利用经济扩张、数据技术、贸易开放等形式的外国直接投资作为支持变量,探讨腐败对东南亚外国直接投资造成的危害。本研究使用的范围包括2010年至2020年,使用面板数据,使用年度数据。所使用的数据来自进入东盟国家的外国直接投资数据、作为ICT指标的互联网用户百分比数据、作为腐败感知指标的腐败感知指数(CPI)、作为经济增长指标的国内生产总值(GDP)数据,以及比率数据。国际贸易是贸易开放的一个指标。PLS技术测试程序是通过将重建纳入PLS计算的施工来启动的。我们发现,外国直接投资(FDI)的增加是一个国家的国际信任水平的指标,包括信息和通信技术支持下的金融透明度的反映。财务透明度反映在清廉指数上。经济前景反映在经济增长或GDP增长和贸易开放上。信息通信技术越发达,东南亚地区的经贸开放度增长越高,东南亚地区的FDI增长也越大。相反,腐败感知指数(CPI)反映的腐败程度越高,东南亚地区的外国直接投资增长越受抑制。
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引用次数: 0
Crisis And Bank Performance In The Covid-19 Era: Russia Case Study 新冠肺炎时代的危机与银行绩效:俄罗斯案例研究
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022012
Adriana Morozov
This study aims to investigate Russia's financial performance during the COVID 19 outbreak and the financial crisis. We use indicators of bank financial performance as the dependent variable in this study. An indication of bank success is bank profit after taxes. As independent variables, general reserves and finance were utilized. For this investigation, the Russian financial services regulator used a sample of all bank transactions across the country that were recorded (Central Bank of the Russian Federation). This study covers a population of all financial institutions in Russia, including those that are registered and those that are not, throughout a monthly time span from January 1995 to January 2021. We found that financing generally has a very favorable impact on Russian banking performance. However, general reserves have a detrimental impact on Russian bank performance. This makes perfect sense since in a stable economy, financing is the spearhead of bank income with measurable risks so when financing increases, bank income also increases. On the other hand, if the reserves increase, more money will settle and in the end, it will have an impact on the loss of opportunities to earn income. However, during a crisis, financing becomes very risky so it is negatively related to bank performance during a crisis, but it is reserved that are the driving force for bank income from deposits to the central bank.
本研究旨在调查俄罗斯在2019冠状病毒病爆发和金融危机期间的财务表现。本研究采用银行财务绩效指标作为因变量。银行成功的标志是银行税后利润。一般储备和财务作为自变量。在这项调查中,俄罗斯金融服务监管机构使用了记录的全国所有银行交易的样本(俄罗斯联邦中央银行)。这项研究涵盖了俄罗斯所有金融机构的人口,包括那些注册的和那些没有注册的,从1995年1月到2021年1月的每月时间跨度。我们发现,融资总体上对俄罗斯银行业业绩有非常有利的影响。然而,一般储备对俄罗斯银行的业绩有不利影响。这是完全合理的,因为在稳定的经济中,融资是银行收入的先头,具有可衡量的风险,因此当融资增加时,银行收入也会增加。另一方面,如果外汇储备增加,就会有更多的货币结算,最终会对失去赚取收入的机会产生影响。然而,在危机期间,融资变得非常危险,因此它与银行在危机期间的业绩呈负相关,但它是银行从存款到央行的收入的驱动力。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation Of The Impact Of Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, Economic Growth, And Circulation Of Electronic Money On Inflation In Malaysia 汇率、利率、经济增长和电子货币流通对马来西亚通货膨胀影响的调查
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022008
Askar Askar, Amaury Capdeville Chapuzet
This project intends to research the effects of the USD vs Malaysian Ringgit exchange rate, Malaysia's central bank interest rate, The growth of the economic in malaysia, the circulation for electronic money in Malaysia on inflation in Malaysia. Bank Negara Malaysia is a secondary data source for this investigation, global financial institution (IMF), also the World Bank with a monthly research period from January 2012 to January 2020. We use Model for Error Correction (ECM) model for the investigate some influence relationship at the long and short run.We found that a stronger USD further depresses the Malaysian ringgit and has an impact on increasing Malaysia’s inflation on the long and short run. When the Malaysian central bank interest rate are higher, the more it will push Malaysia’s inflation. And the higher economic growth in Malaysia, the more accelerating inflation at Malaysia, at long and the short run. However, some circulation of electronic money in Malaysia only has a short-term impact on inflation and in the long term the impact is not significant.
本项目旨在研究美元对马来西亚林吉特汇率、马来西亚央行利率、马来西亚经济增长、马来西亚电子货币流通对马来西亚通货膨胀的影响。马来西亚国家银行是本次调查的次要数据来源,全球金融机构(IMF)也是世界银行,每月研究期为2012年1月至2020年1月。我们使用误差修正模型(ECM)来研究长期和短期的影响关系。我们发现,美元走强进一步压低了马来西亚林吉特,并在长期和短期内对增加马来西亚的通货膨胀产生了影响。马来西亚央行的利率越高,就越会推高马来西亚的通胀。马来西亚的经济增长越快,马来西亚的通货膨胀就越快,无论是长期还是短期都是如此。然而,马来西亚一些电子货币的流通对通货膨胀只有短期影响,长期影响并不显著。
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引用次数: 0
Why is Human Capital Investment Not Immediate Impact? Investigating the Impact of Human Capital, Financial Capital, and Technological Capital on Economic Growth in Malaysia 为什么人力资本投资没有立竿见影的效果?调查人力资本、金融资本和技术资本对马来西亚经济增长的影响
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022009
Dashen Allen, Benjamin Drean
This study's objective for look at short-term and long-term effects of production parameters (money, people, technology) on national production (GDP). In this study, the money factor is indicated by total investment nationally, the human factor is indicated by work participation (workers), and human capital (total investment in education and health nationally). Our technology factor uses the indicator of total technology investment nationally (Total investment in science and technology research and development plus technology imports). This study uses secondary data obtained from the World Bank for the period 1985 to 2020. The Distributed’s Autoregressive Lag Method was used in this research. Some investigation found something about investment to the human resources cannot be directly felt in the short term because the impact given in investment in human resources requires a process before it has an impact on national production. However, financial capital, work participation, and technology can be felt immediately in the short term. Human Capital are very important. This requires good attention in supporting the improvement of human capital. Human capital investment is beneficial in the long term and having a significant effect to the long term.
本研究的目的是考察生产参数(资金、人员、技术)对国民生产(GDP)的短期和长期影响。在本研究中,货币因素以国家总投资表示,人的因素以工作参与(工人)和人力资本(国家教育和卫生总投资)表示。我们的技术因子采用的指标是全国技术总投入(科技研发总投入加技术进口)。本研究使用了从世界银行获得的1985年至2020年期间的二手数据。本研究采用分布式自回归滞后方法。一些调查发现,对人力资源的投资在短期内不能直接感受到,因为对人力资源的投资所产生的影响需要一个过程才能对国家生产产生影响。然而,短期内可以立即感受到金融资本、工作参与和技术。人力资本非常重要。这需要在支持改善人力资本方面给予高度重视。人力资本投资具有长期效益,对企业的长期发展具有显著的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Education And Health To Support The Quality Of Work Participation In Cambodia 教育和卫生以支持柬埔寨的工作参与质量
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.54204/tmji/vol512022001
Danang Dwi Gusti Fajar Yanto, Achariya Chanthavy
This study investigates Work Participation, Education, Health and Economic Growth. This study investigates data from the 2000 to 2020 starting point to generate “autoregressive vectors” that can be used to determine relationships between variables. This model is used to analyze Work Participation, Education, Health and Economic Growth in Cambodia and we utilize the World Bank’s data. We find something about this research, like good work participation requires education and good health as well, because if education and health are poor, work participation will also be bad. When work participation is good, apart from health and education, there will also be economic development that will improve in Cambodia.
这项研究调查了工作参与、教育、健康和经济增长。本研究调查了2000年至2020年起始点的数据,以生成可用于确定变量之间关系的“自回归向量”。该模型用于分析柬埔寨的工作参与、教育、卫生和经济增长,我们利用了世界银行的数据。我们在这项研究中发现,良好的工作参与需要良好的教育和健康,因为如果教育和健康不好,工作参与也会很糟糕。当工作参与良好时,除了保健和教育之外,柬埔寨的经济发展也将得到改善。
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引用次数: 0
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Tamansiswa Management Journal International
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