航空运输中基于主体的建模的问题与机遇

Jia Zhao, D. DeLaurentis
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引用次数: 2

摘要

表征未来最有可能的航空运输架构的包络需要系统的系统方法。这种方法旨在产生战术和战略两级的决定,并考虑到技术、政策和社会经济方面。基于代理的建模通过为大规模交互系统的分析提供灵活的工具,已经在这个领域找到了富有成效的用途。根据航空运输的“系统的系统”性质,现有的模型可以很容易地按其抽象级别进行分类。本文综述了现有的四种基于主体的模型和一种正在开发的模型,确定并概括了ABM应用中的四个主要方法问题。随后,介绍了这些应用在博弈论、基于代理的优化、智能代理和不确定性处理等增强方面的含义。这些问题甚至超出了航空运输的范畴,对反弹道导弹的普遍应用具有一定的参考价值。
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Issues and opportunities for agent-based modeling in air transportation
Characterizing the envelope of most probable future air transportation architectures requires a system-of-systems approach. Such an approach is intended to produce both tactical and strategic level decisions and do so in consideration of technological, policy, and socio-economic aspects. Agent-based modeling has found productive use in this domain by providing flexible tool for analysis of large-scale interacting systems. Following from the system-of-systems nature of air transportation, existing models can be readily categorized by their level of abstraction. Four existing agent-based models and one model under development are reviewed in this paper, identifying and generalizing four major methodological issues in their application of ABM. Subsequently, implications from these applications on augmentations such as game theory, agent-based optimization, intelligent agents, and treatment of uncertainty are presented. All these issues exist even beyond the scope of air transportation and could be of value for common application of ABM.
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