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2008 First International Conference on Infrastructure Systems and Services: Building Networks for a Brighter Future (INFRA)最新文献

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Asset management stewardship: The effectiveness of public-private mix governance structures 资产管理管理:公私混合治理结构的有效性
D. E. Mills, K. Brown, J. Waterhouse
Major infrastructure assets are often governed by a mix of public and private organizations, each fulfilling a specific and separate role i.e. policy, ownership, operation or maintenance. However, it is increasingly problematic to maintain separate and distinct governance arrangements for each of these functions due to their criticality to achieving social outcomes such as supply of water, power and transport and their interdependency in terms of risk management. The success of long term asset management is therefore becoming reliant on coalitions of organizations and groups working in a co-coordinated and collaborative way to deliver services. Yet, it is unclear how to conceptualize these networks of relationships and to determine the types of entities and arrangements that will best contribute to successful collaborative governance. Stewardship theory is revisited to provide a lens through which asset management governance can be examined. It is argued that the concerns of the community in regard to the long-term sustainability of infrastructure assets from environmental, accountability, strategic and business perspectives may be well served by a renewed conceptualization of stewardship theory.
主要的基础设施资产通常由公共和私人组织共同管理,每个组织都扮演着特定而独立的角色,即政策、所有权、运营或维护。然而,由于这些职能对实现诸如供水、供电和运输等社会成果及其在风险管理方面的相互依赖性至关重要,因此为每一项职能维持单独和独特的治理安排越来越成问题。因此,长期资产管理的成功依赖于以协调和协作的方式工作的组织和团体的联盟来提供服务。然而,尚不清楚如何概念化这些关系网络,并确定最有助于成功协作治理的实体和安排的类型。管理理论被重新审视,以提供一个镜头,通过它可以检查资产管理治理。有人认为,从环境、问责制、战略和商业角度来看,社区对基础设施资产的长期可持续性的关注可能会通过管理理论的新概念得到很好的服务。
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引用次数: 4
Developing robust Intelligent Speed Adaptation policies within a multi-stakeholder context: An application of exploratory modeling 在多利益相关者环境中开发健壮的智能速度适应策略:探索性建模的应用
J. V. D. Pas, D. B. Agusdinata, Warren E. Walker, V. Marchau
Each year traffic in Europe claims more than 40,000 fatalities, of which one third are due to inappropriate speed. This makes increasing traffic safety and reducing speeding important policy objectives for public policymakers. A possible measure to help achieve these objectives is implementing Intelligent Speed Adaptation (ISA), an in-vehicle device that assists a driver in maintaining the appropriate speed. Past research in this field focuses on estimating ISA's safety benefits, as well as the impact of ISA on other criteria, such as emissions, throughput, and travel time. Coming up with a robust policy, however, also requires insights into the trade-offs the various stakeholders make with respect to these criteria. In this paper, we show how exploratory modeling in a multi-criteria multi-stakeholder context can support developing robust policies for implementing ISA.
欧洲每年有4万多人死于交通事故,其中三分之一是由于车速过快。这使得提高交通安全和减少超速成为公共政策制定者的重要政策目标。实现这些目标的一个可能措施是实施智能速度适应(ISA),这是一种帮助驾驶员保持适当速度的车载设备。过去在该领域的研究主要集中在评估ISA的安全效益,以及ISA对其他标准的影响,如排放、吞吐量和旅行时间。然而,提出一个稳健的政策还需要深入了解各种利益相关者根据这些标准所做的权衡。在本文中,我们展示了多标准多涉众环境中的探索性建模如何支持为实现ISA开发健壮的策略。
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引用次数: 5
Agent coordination for supply and demand match in microgrids with auction mechanism 竞价机制下微电网供需匹配的代理协调
R. Duan, Geert Deconinck
To realize the emerging potential of Distributed Generation (DG), a system approach which views generation and associated loads as microgrids is becoming a promising solution for the future power infrastructure. However, DG implies unpredictability of the energy production, in addition to the unpredictability of energy consumption. On the purpose of matching electricity supply and demand, an agent-based coordination system has been designed to handle the real-time equilibrium. This multi-agent system is based on an auction algorithm to obtain an optimal cost allocation. Simulation results, based on realistic profiles of suppliers and consumers of electrical energy, indicate swift responsiveness and scalability of the approach.
为了实现分布式发电(DG)的新兴潜力,一种将发电和相关负荷视为微电网的系统方法正在成为未来电力基础设施的一种有前途的解决方案。然而,DG意味着能源生产的不可预测性,以及能源消费的不可预测性。以电力供需匹配为目标,设计了一种基于智能体的协调系统来处理实时均衡。该多智能体系统基于竞价算法来获得最优的成本分配。基于电力供应商和消费者的实际情况的仿真结果表明,该方法具有快速响应和可扩展性。
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引用次数: 13
Implementation of cross-border balancing in Europe 在欧洲实施跨境平衡
L. Vandezande, L. Meeus, M. Saguan, J. Glachant, R. Belmans
Following initiatives on the day-ahead and intra-day stage, a cross-border approach towards real-time balancing constitutes a logical next step in the process towards an Internal Electricity Market (IEM) in Europe. Determining the real-time price for energy on which market parties need to be able to rely for last resort supply, well designed cross-border balancing markets are a key element in an efficiently functioning IEM. For the moment, balancing market designs significantly differ between countries and a coordinated approach for cross-border exchange of balancing services is lacking. This paper identifies possible distortions following an insufficient harmonization of national designs and derives both minimal prerequisites and long term recommendations for the implementation of cross-border balancing in Europe.
继日前和日内阶段的举措之后,实现实时平衡的跨境方法构成了欧洲内部电力市场(IEM)进程中合乎逻辑的下一步。确定市场各方需要依赖的能源实时价格作为最后手段供应,设计良好的跨境平衡市场是有效运作IEM的关键因素。目前,各国之间的平衡市场设计差异很大,缺乏协调一致的跨境交换平衡服务的方法。本文确定了国家设计不充分协调后可能出现的扭曲,并为在欧洲实施跨境平衡提出了最低先决条件和长期建议。
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引用次数: 9
Assessing available transfer capacity on a realistic European Network: Impact of assumptions on wind power generation 评估现实欧洲电网的可用输电能力:假设对风力发电的影响
V. Rious, J. Usaola, M. Saguan, J. Glachant, P. Dessante
This paper aims at assessing the impact of massive wind power penetration on the calculation of ATC. Calculations are made for the ATC between France and Belgium and are realized on a realistic European Electricity Network. We find that the German wind power production make this ATC vary depending on the total wind power production and its geographical distribution in Germany. Wind power production and the nodes involved in cross-border exchange must then be forecast precisely so that the cross-border exchange can be maximal without breaching network security.
本文旨在评估大规模风电侵彻对空中交通管制计算的影响。对法国和比利时之间的ATC进行了计算,并在实际的欧洲电网中实现。我们发现,德国的风电产量使这个ATC根据德国的风电总量及其地理分布而变化。在不破坏网络安全的前提下,对风电产量和跨境交换节点进行精确预测,实现跨境交换的最大化。
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引用次数: 17
Anticipation for efficient electricity transmission network investments 对高效输电网投资的预期
V. Rious, P. Dessante, J. Glachant
This paper proposes a model and preliminary results to evaluate the efficiency of anticipating the connection of power plants with shorter construction duration than the time needed to obtain the right to upgrade the network and finally to do this reinforcement. This evaluation is made in presence of a cost of anticipation related to the study of the project of network investment and to the administrative procedures needed to obtain the building agreement. This model compares a proactive TSO that anticipates the connection of new generators and then the required network reinforcement, with a reactive one that does not make any anticipation but that may then face greater congestion while the network is being reinforced. The efficiency of these behaviors is measured in terms of social cost. We find out that there exists a limit of probability for the connection of generators beyond which a proactive TSO is more efficient than a reactive one. Evaluated on a realistic case of connection, this limit of probability is found quite low, which indicates that the proactive behavior for a TSO shall generally be the optimal one.
本文提出了一个模型并给出了初步结果,以评估在获得电网升级改造权并最终进行电网升级改造所需时间内,对工期较短的电厂进行预接入的效率。这一评价是在与研究网络投资项目和获得建筑协议所需的行政程序有关的预期费用的情况下进行的。该模型比较了主动TSO和被动TSO,前者预测新发电机的连接,然后进行所需的网络加固,后者不做任何预测,但在网络加固时可能面临更大的拥塞。这些行为的效率是用社会成本来衡量的。我们发现发电机连接存在一个概率极限,超过这个极限,主动TSO比无功TSO更有效。通过对实际连接情况的评估,发现该概率极限很低,这表明TSO的主动行为通常是最优行为。
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引用次数: 8
On the development of Agent-Based Models for infrastructure evolution 基于agent的基础设施演化模型研究
I. Nikolic, G. Dijkema
To achieve sustainability of our ever changing and evolving world system, we must view it as a control/engineering problem on a massive scale. Infrastructure systems are an essential part of this world and are critical to achieve sustain-ability. We conjecture that in order to sufficiently understand and manage these systems we need models that match their scale, complexity and evolutionary nature. In order to eventually capture the full diversity and adaptivity of the 'world system', and specifically the infrastructures that sustain it, we have developed an evolving, modular, approach for developing models of infrastructure evolution. This approach combines a staged and tested social process that enables model specification, a modular Java based simulation engine and an ontology, which is a formal language specification that uniquely defines the interface between minds (knowledge) and simulation models (executable code). The ultimate goal is to underpin decision-making in or on infrastructure systems. In the paper we will introduce the basic requirements necessary for creation of the evolving modeling and illustrate the adaptive approach for Agent Based Model development by showing a series of ever more complex models.
为了实现不断变化和发展的世界体系的可持续性,我们必须将其视为一个大规模的控制/工程问题。基础设施系统是这个世界的重要组成部分,对实现可持续性至关重要。我们推测,为了充分理解和管理这些系统,我们需要与它们的规模、复杂性和进化性质相匹配的模型。为了最终捕捉到“世界体系”的全部多样性和适应性,特别是维持它的基础设施,我们开发了一种不断发展的模块化方法来开发基础设施演变模型。这种方法结合了一个阶段的和经过测试的社会过程,该过程支持模型规范、一个基于Java的模块化仿真引擎和一个本体,本体是一种正式的语言规范,它唯一地定义了思想(知识)和仿真模型(可执行代码)之间的接口。最终目标是在基础设施系统内或基础设施系统上支持决策。在本文中,我们将介绍创建不断发展的模型所必需的基本要求,并通过展示一系列更复杂的模型来说明基于Agent的模型开发的自适应方法。
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引用次数: 31
Managing optimism biases in the delivery of large-infrastructure projects: A corporate performance benchmarking approach 管理大型基础设施项目交付中的乐观偏见:一种公司绩效基准方法
Matti Siemiatycki
Optimism bias has been a considerable challenge in the planning and delivery of public services, particularly infrastructure mega projects. This has resulted in consistently underestimated costs and overestimated benefits, as well as delivery delays. This paper explores whether innovative mechanisms of collecting and publicly disseminating information about the performance of government contractors on past projects can contribute to improving the success rate of future initiatives. Drawing on international examples from North America, Europe and Asia, it is argued that the production of widely available league tables of corporate performance will have two key benefits. First, public sector procurement managers will have greater information with which to select companies with a strong reputation of successfully planning and delivering similar projects. Second, with performance rankings being used by decision-makers as part of the criteria to select future tenders, private sector partners will have greater incentive to challenge the institutional forces that cause optimism biases.
在规划和提供公共服务,特别是大型基础设施项目方面,乐观主义偏见一直是相当大的挑战。这导致了持续低估成本和高估收益,以及交付延迟。本文探讨了收集和公开传播政府承包商过去项目绩效信息的创新机制是否有助于提高未来项目的成功率。根据来自北美、欧洲和亚洲的国际例子,有人认为,制作广泛可用的公司业绩排行榜将有两个关键好处。首先,公共部门采购经理将有更多的信息来选择那些在成功规划和交付类似项目方面享有盛誉的公司。其次,由于决策者将绩效排名作为选择未来投标的标准之一,私营部门合作伙伴将有更大的动力挑战导致乐观偏见的制度力量。
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引用次数: 24
Towards a typology of regulatory governance regimes in the liberalizing network industries 网络产业自由化中监管治理制度的类型学研究
M. Finger, R. Künneke
The purpose of this paper is to discuss various institutional arrangements in relation to different techno-economic conditions in network industries. We proceed along three steps: we first describe typical technological and economic configurations in the network industries that are related to essential technical functions. In a second step we summarize typical modes of organization that are applied in infrastructure reforms. The liberalization of infrastructures depends on the opportunities to configure these modes of organization for essential technical functions towards competition and private sector involvement. This approach allows us identifying different techno-economic configurations of infrastructures, and thus different institutional opportunities for liberalization that we describe as a third step. Depending on the political and economic systems, each of these institutional configurations can be addressed in different ways, allowing for different national styles of infrastructure reform.
本文的目的是讨论网络产业中与不同技术经济条件相关的各种制度安排。本文分三步进行:首先描述了网络产业中与基本技术功能相关的典型技术和经济结构;第二步,我们总结了应用于基础设施改革的典型组织模式。基础设施的自由化取决于是否有机会为基本的技术职能配置这些组织模式,以促进竞争和私营部门的参与。这种方法使我们能够确定基础设施的不同技术经济配置,从而确定我们称之为第三步的自由化的不同制度机会。根据政治和经济制度的不同,这些制度配置中的每一种都可以用不同的方式来解决,从而允许不同国家的基础设施改革风格。
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引用次数: 0
Applying public-private partnership to subway construction in China: What is the evidence? 公私合营在中国地铁建设中的应用:证据是什么?
Martin de Jong, Shanshan Xu, Dominic Stead
Rapidly growing motorization has led to high levels of traffic congestion and emissions and encouraged large Chinese metropolitan areas to invest in subway developments. The financial burden of these projects, however, far exceeds the availability of public funds. As a consequence, the Chinese government has started to allow lower tiers of government to experiment with Public Private Partnerships (PPP) and private finance to supplement the funding deficit. Analysts often claim that countries have to fulfill certain institutional, macro-economic and other requirements before they can make effective use of PPP. In this article, China's record in meeting those requirements is examined and conclusions are drawn as to where the remaining weaknesses lie. Seven recent PPP projects for subways in five large metropolitan areas in China (Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Chongqing and Harbin) are investigated empirically. Conclusions are drawn concerning China's current status regarding the use of PPP and the likely prospects for PPP in China in the future.
快速增长的机动化导致了严重的交通拥堵和排放,并鼓励中国大城市投资地铁开发。然而,这些项目的财政负担远远超过公共资金的可用性。因此,中国政府已开始允许较低级别的政府尝试公私合作(PPP)和私人融资,以补充资金赤字。分析人士经常声称,各国必须满足一定的制度、宏观经济和其他要求,才能有效利用PPP。在本文中,中国在满足这些要求方面的记录进行了审查,并得出结论,其余的弱点在哪里。本文对中国五个大都市(上海、北京、深圳、重庆和哈尔滨)最近七个地铁PPP项目进行了实证研究。本文总结了中国目前使用PPP的现状,以及未来PPP在中国的可能前景。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2008 First International Conference on Infrastructure Systems and Services: Building Networks for a Brighter Future (INFRA)
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