内部依赖层次的Saaty AHP与重点行业选择

Yang Jianmei
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摘要

在中国,重点产业的选择是行政管理部门最重要的问题之一,也是经济学的重要课题。在中国,这一任务主要有两种方式:一种是基于决策者自身的经验;另一种是基于经济学提出的标准。这两种方法都远不能令人满意。作者采用了Saaty教授(1987)创建的简单层次分析法(AHP)来选择KI;从而弥补了上述两种方法的不足。然而,在AHP模型中,行业间一对一的投入产出关系对KI选择的影响没有得到充分反映。本文建立了考虑行业间依赖关系的具有内部依赖层次的AHP模型来选择KI。利用这些模型推导出相应的公式,并对广州KI进行了选择。基于该模型的计算结果已得到广州市有关部门的认可和采用。
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Saaty's AHP with inner dependent hierarchy and the choice of key industries
In China, the choice of key industries (KI) is one of the most important issues for administrative authorities and is also an important topic in economics. In China, this task is carried out in two ways: one is on the basis of decision-maker's own experiences; the other is based on criteria raised by economics. Both methods are far from satisfactory. The author has used the simple analytical hierarchy process (AHP) created by Prof. Saaty (1987) to choose KI; therefore the shortcomings in the above-mentioned two methods are remedied. However, in the AHP model, the influences of the one-to-one input-output relationships between the industries on the choice of KI are not reflected adequately. In this paper, AHP models with inner dependent hierarchies, in which the dependent relationships between industries are considered, are built up to choose KI. The corresponding formulae are derived and the choice of Guangzhou KI is made by using these models. The calculated results, based on the models, have been approved and adopted by the Guanzhou municipal authorities.<>
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