基于神经网络的建筑能源模型适应入住后的条件:佛罗里达州的案例研究

Mariana Migliori, H. Najafi, A. Fabregas, Troy V. Nguyen
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引用次数: 1

摘要

建筑能源模型(bem)是由主题专家在设计阶段开发的,以帮助实现更节能的设计决策。考虑到“运行中”条件的潜在变化,基于“设计”条件来预测建筑能耗的BEM在建筑的生命周期内可能会变得不那么准确。虽然可以调整BEM以应对操作变化,但最终用户(即建筑物所有者)通常不具备更新基于物理的模型(例如,quest)的知识,因此初始BEM可能对他们不再有用。在本文中,提出并评估了一种方法,通过该方法,使用eQuest开发了基于物理的模型,并对几种不同的操作条件进行了模拟。结果数据随后用于训练人工神经网络(ANN),该网络作为一个简单的数据驱动模型,用于根据运行条件的变化预测建筑能耗。本文以佛罗里达州墨尔本的一座建筑为例,探讨了2019冠状病毒病大流行期间建筑运营计划的变化及其对BEM性能的影响。将训练好的人工神经网络与不同场景下的实测能耗数据进行对比,结果吻合较好。所提出的方法可用于建立数据驱动的bem,该bem在响应建筑操作条件的突然变化时保持准确。
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Neural Network-Based Building Energy Models for Adapting to Post-Occupancy Conditions: A Case Study for Florida
Building energy models (BEMs) are developed by subject matter experts during the design phase to help with decision making for achieving a more energy-efficient design. A BEM that is created based on “as-designed” condition to predict building energy consumption can become much less accurate during the lifetime of the building given the potential changes to the “in-operation” conditions. While BEMs can be adjusted to address operational changes, the end-user (i.e. building owners) usually do not possess the knowledge to update physics-based models (e.g., eQuest) and therefore the initial BEM may no longer be useful to them. In the present paper, an approach is proposed and assessed through which a physics-based model is developed using eQuest and simulated for several different operating conditions. The resulting data are then used for training an artificial neural network (ANN) which serves as a simple and data-driven model for prediction of building energy consumption in response to changes in operating conditions. A case study is performed for a building in Melbourne, FL to explore the changes occurred in the building schedule of operation during COVID-19 pandemic and it's impact on the performance of BEM. The trained ANN is tested against the actual measured data for energy consumption under different scenarios and good agreement between the results are found. The approach presented can be used to establish data-driven BEMs that remain accurate in response to sudden changes in building operating conditions.
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