汇率波动与经济增长的关系:来自尼日利亚的经验证据

Mamuda Abdu, Muhammad Rilwanu Umar, B. Mohammed, Jimoh Maryam Ajannah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究使用来自尼日利亚中央银行各期统计公报的二手数据,考察了1986年至2019年汇率对经济增长的影响。从1986年货币当局从固定汇率制转向弹性汇率制到2019年。采用普通最小二乘法进行回归分析。结果表明,汇率对经济增长的正向影响不显著,而利率和通货膨胀率对经济增长的负向影响显著。因此,为了保持贸易顺差,建议政府应鼓励出口促进战略,并提供有利的环境,充分的安全,有效的财政和货币,以及基础设施设施,以吸引外国投资者在尼日利亚投资。
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Exchange rate fluctuations and economic growth nexus: An empirical evidence from Nigeria
This research study examined the effect of exchange rate on economic growth from 1986 to 2019 using secondary data sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin of various issues. From 1986 being the year the monetary authority shifted from fixed exchange rate regime to flexible exchange rate regime to 2019. The regression analysis using ordinary least square was used to analyze the data. The result revealed that exchange rate has insignificant positive effect on economic growth while interest rate and inflation rate have significant negative effect on economic growth. Therefore, in order to maintain a surplus balance of trade, it is recommended that government should encourage export promotion strategies and also provision of conducive environment, adequate security, effective fiscal and monetary, as well as infrastructural facilities should be available in order to attract foreign investors to invest in Nigeria.
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