基于集成的遗传规划系统预测英国足球超级联赛

Tianxiang Cui, Jingpeng Li, J. Woodward, A. Parkes
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引用次数: 12

摘要

由于许多可能的影响因素的复杂性和不确定性,预测足球比赛的结果是具有挑战性的。遗传规划(GP)已被证明是非常成功的进化新颖的和意想不到的解决问题的方法。在这项工作中,我们将GP应用于预测英超联赛的结果,结果要么是赢,要么是输,要么是平局。我们从每个游戏中选择25个特征作为GP系统的输入,然后生成一个函数来预测结果。对单个gp生成函数的预测精度的实验测试是有希望的。我们的GP系统的一个优点是,通过实现不同的运行或使用不同的设置,它可以生成我们想要的许多高质量的函数。研究表明,结合多个分类器的决策可以提供比单个分类器更好的结果。在这项工作中,我们将43种不同的gp生成功能组合在一起,显著提高了系统性能。
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An ensemble based Genetic Programming system to predict English football premier league games
Predicting the result of a football game is challenging due to the complexity and uncertainties of many possible influencing factors involved. Genetic Programming (GP) has been shown to be very successful at evolving novel and unexpected ways of solving problems. In this work, we apply GP to the problem of predicting the outcomes of English Premier League games with the result being either win, lose or draw. We select 25 features from each game as the inputs to our GP system, which will then generate a function to predict the result. The experimental test on the prediction accuracy of a single GP-generated function is promising. One advantage of our GP system is, by implementing different runs or using different settings, it can generate as many high quality functions as we want. It has been showed that combining the decisions of a number of classifiers can provide better results than a single one. In this work, we combine 43 different GP-generated functions together and achieve significantly improved system performance.
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