具有随机债券的连续债券-股票市场的鞅测度与定价

N. Dokuchaev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了连续时间市场模型下的股票期权定价问题,该模型中存在两种随机可交易资产,并选取其中一种资产作为随机数序列。研究表明,任意小的随机偏差的存在会引起市场性质的显著变化。特别是,等效鞅度量对于这个市场来说并不是唯一的,并且存在不可复制的主张。在等效鞅测度的某些极端选择下,边际价格和套期误差会发生显著变化并取极值。本文提出并讨论了一些等效鞅测度的合理选择,包括从观察到的债券价格计算的隐含测度。这样就可以计算风险过程的隐含市场价格。
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On Martingale Measures and Pricing for Continuous Bond-Stock Market with Stochastic Bond
This papers addresses the stock option pricing problem in a continuous time market model where there are two stochastic tradable assets, and one of them is selected as a num\'eraire. It is shown that the presence of arbitrarily small stochastic deviations in the evolution of the num\'eraire process causes significant changes in the market properties. In particular, an equivalent martingale measure is not unique for this market, and there are non-replicable claims. The martingale prices and the hedging error can vary significantly and take extreme values, for some extreme choices of the equivalent martingale measures. Some rational choices of the equivalent martingale measures are suggested and discussed, including implied measures calculated from observed bond prices. This allows to calculate the implied market price of risk process.
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