土耳其的欧洲化及其对塞浦路斯问题的影响

Kivanç Ulusoy
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引用次数: 35

摘要

1999年在赫尔辛基举行的欧洲理事会首脑会议是土耳其与欧盟关系的转折点。它通过给予土耳其正式候选国地位,从根本上改变了两国关系的性质。这次峰会还把欧盟作为一个可信的行动者带进了土耳其的政治议程,这是难以忽视的。欧盟与土耳其关系本质变化的一个关键方面是,土耳其面临越来越大的压力,要求其在包括民主和人权在内的几个政策领域采用欧洲标准。当前的变化过程,最近被称为欧洲化,实际上变成了民主化的过程,甚至对土耳其在塞浦路斯问题等具有高度民族主义共鸣和硬安全内容的问题上的政策转变也显示出明显的影响。1999年后的欧化进程给了土耳其正义与发展党(JDP)政府一个更好的机会,在这个由压倒性的军事观点主导的问题上进行演习。然而,欧化进程并没有给这个问题带来重大变化。土耳其外交政策的变化以及欧盟的介入只会使政府容易受到来自硬安全圈的指责,因为它的举措没有带来积极的结果。冲突的结构先于各方行为的变化,而区域力量平衡先于外部锚点欧盟的力量来改变这种平衡。欧盟对冲突的介入只会使局势陷入新的僵局。这项研究将进行如下。首先,将提供关于欧洲化、民主化和外交政策进程的理论背景,并特别参考土耳其的情况。随后将审查土耳其-欧盟关系中的塞浦路斯问题,并分析希腊-土耳其和解对解决前景的影响。该文件的最后将评估土耳其欧洲化对塞浦路斯问题的影响。
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The Europeanization of Turkey and its impact on the Cyprus problem
The European Council Summit in Helsinki in 1999 was a turning point in Turkey–EU relations. It radically transformed the nature of the relations through granting Turkey an official candidate status. The Summit also brought the EU to Turkey’s political agenda as a credible actor, difficult to disregard. The crucial aspect of this change in the nature of EU–Turkey relations is increasing pressure on Turkey to adopt European standards in several policy areas, including democracy and human rights. The current process of change, recently labelled as Europeanization, turns actually into a process of democratization, showing its clear impact even on the transformation of Turkey’s policy on such issues like the Cyprus problem with highly nationalist resonance and hard security content. The process of Europeanization in the post-1999 period gave the government of the Justice and Development Party (JDP) in Turkey a better chance to make manoeuvres on this issue dominated by the overwhelming power of military perspectives. However, the Europeanization process did not give a major change on the issue. The changes in Turkish foreign policy together with EU involvement only made the government vulnerable to the charges coming from circles of hard security as its initiatives did not deliver a positive result. The structure of the conflict preceded the changes in the action of the parties and the regional balance of power preceded the power of an external anchor, the EU, to change the balance. The EU involvement in the conflict only transformed the situation into a new impasse. The study will proceed as follows. Firstly, a theoretical background will be provided on the processes of Europeanization, democratization and foreign policy with special reference to the Turkish case. This will be followed by an examination of the Cyprus issue in Turkey–EU relations together with an analysis of the impact of Greek–Turkish rapprochement on the prospects of solution. The paper will be concluded by an assessment of the impact of Turkey’s Europeanization on the Cyprus issue.
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