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Understanding banking sector reforms in Turkey: assessing the roles of domestic versus external actors 了解土耳其银行业改革:评估国内与外部参与者的作用
Pub Date : 2008-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802493808
Aytül Ganioğlu
Prudential regulation and supervision is a major condition for successful financial liberalization and the proper sequencing of financial liberalization. However, the early ‘sequencing literature’ puts less emphasis on the role of prudential regulation and supervision of the banking system. While the combination of macroeconomic stabilization, trade and financial liberalization was strongly emphasized in the Washington Consensus policies in the early 1990s, less attention was given to the institutional/governance issues within appropriate sequencing. Hence, McKinnon (1998, p. 57) criticized the ‘Washington Consensus’ approach for underemphasizing the need to invest in institutional infrastructure before introducing liberalization reforms, while favouring financial liberalization. Inclusion of prudential regulation and supervision of the banking system to the Washington Consensus approach and to stabilization programmes as an important precondition of successful financial liberalization follows the severe crises in emerging market economies in the 1990s. Especially after the Asian crisis, weak prudential regulation and supervision is regarded to have led to financial sector vulnerability, which was claimed to be at the root of the Asian crisis. Then, the Washington Consensus approach composed a new agenda through encompassing the importance of prudential regulatory framework in its policy line, while financial liberalization continued to be promoted as welfare
审慎的监管和监督是金融自由化成功的重要条件,也是金融自由化的适当顺序。然而,早期的“排序文献”较少强调审慎监管和银行体系监督的作用。虽然1990年代初的华盛顿共识政策强烈强调宏观经济稳定、贸易和金融自由化的结合,但对按适当顺序排列的体制/治理问题的注意较少。因此,麦金农(1998,第57页)批评了“华盛顿共识”的方法,因为它没有强调在引入自由化改革之前投资制度基础设施的必要性,而赞成金融自由化。在1990年代新兴市场经济出现严重危机之后,将审慎管理和监督银行系统纳入《华盛顿共识》方法和稳定方案,作为成功实现金融自由化的重要先决条件。特别是在亚洲金融危机之后,薄弱的审慎监管被认为导致了金融部门的脆弱性,这被认为是亚洲金融危机的根源。然后,华盛顿共识方法通过将审慎监管框架的重要性纳入其政策路线而构成了一个新的议程,而金融自由化继续被视为福利
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引用次数: 4
Leaders, political behaviour and decision-making: the case of the former President of the Republic of Cyprus, George Vasiliou 领导人、政治行为和决策:塞浦路斯共和国前总统乔治·瓦西里乌的案例
Pub Date : 2008-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802493709
Nicos Christodoulides
The operational code is the most commonly used psychological/attitudinal approach applied by international relations scholars to the study of political leadership. Its basic assumption is that the belief system of a leader plays a decisive role in the way he/she understands a political event and the way he/she makes decisions. In this paper, I will first present the operational code of the former President of the Republic of Cyprus, George Vasiliou (1988–93), by using quantitative and qualitative analysis of primary and secondary sources. Then, three major policy decisions of Vasiliou over a period of time will be examined in order to determine if they have a direct linkage with his beliefs. If all three decisions have a consistency with his belief system, then we can conclude that his belief system played a decisive role.
操作代码是国际关系学者在研究政治领导力时最常用的心理/态度方法。它的基本假设是,领导者的信仰体系在他/她理解政治事件的方式和他/她做出决策的方式中起着决定性的作用。在本文中,我将首先介绍塞浦路斯共和国前总统乔治·瓦西里乌(1988-93)的操作代码,通过对一手和二手资料进行定量和定性分析。然后,瓦西里奥在一段时间内的三个主要政策决定将被检查,以确定它们是否与他的信仰有直接的联系。如果这三个决定都与他的信念系统一致,那么我们可以得出结论,他的信念系统起了决定性作用。
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引用次数: 0
The Southern European model of immigration: do the cases of Malta, Cyprus and Slovenia fit? 南欧的移民模式:马耳他、塞浦路斯和斯洛文尼亚的情况适合吗?
Pub Date : 2008-11-18 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802493550
Russell S. King, M. Thomson
The 2004 enlargement of the European Union brought in 10 new member states: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, the Czech and Slovak Republics, Hungary, Slovenia, Malta and Cyprus. Echoing concerns...
2004年欧盟的扩大带来了10个新成员国:爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚、立陶宛、波兰、捷克和斯洛伐克共和国、匈牙利、斯洛文尼亚、马耳他和塞浦路斯。呼应的担忧……
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引用次数: 23
Building institutional, economic and social capacities through discourse: the role of NGOs in the context of Bosnia-Herzegovina and Serbia 通过话语建立体制、经济和社会能力:波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那和塞尔维亚境内非政府组织的作用
Pub Date : 2008-11-18 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802493774
J. Ateljević
As part of ongoing research, this paper attempts to explain how a nongovernmental organization (NGO) engages in activities of social and institutional entrepreneurship in developing capabilities at different levels: social, human, economic and institutional. In this study, tourism provides the empirical context in the cross-border regional tourism development of the eastern part of the Republika Srpska (RS), BiH (Bosnia and Herzegovina) and western Serbia. The region, known as the Drina Valley Tourism Region (DVTR), encompasses eight municipalities, four from each side of the Drina River which forms the border between the two countries. The DVTR, situated in the Drina River Valley, comprises fragile ecosystems and equally fragile open economies facing unique sustainable development problems and opportunities. The economy is strongly dependent upon agriculture and a few tourism activities with good prospects for tourism rejuvenation and development. A sizeable influx of concessionary finance, official grants and net private transfers from abroad sustain development programmes in some parts of the region, particularly in Srebrenica and Bratunac (RS–BiH). One of the main problems facing all the municipalities is negative population growth and an increasing number of younger people permanently leaving the region. The area provides a specific political and historical context due to its dynamic history associated with perpetuated ethnical and religious struggles amongst the communities along the river since the Ottoman invasion in the 15th century. The dissolution of the former Yugoslavia following the civil war in the early 1990s revived the historical tensions that were controlled in the former Yugoslavia. Bridges over the Drina River have never lasted long. In such a context like BiH
作为正在进行的研究的一部分,本文试图解释非政府组织(NGO)如何参与社会和机构创业活动,以发展不同层面的能力:社会、人力、经济和机构。在本研究中,旅游业为塞族共和国(RS)东部、波黑(波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那)和塞尔维亚西部的跨境区域旅游发展提供了实证背景。该地区被称为德里纳河谷旅游区(DVTR),包括八个直辖市,德里纳河两岸各四个,形成了两国之间的边界。DVTR位于德里纳河谷,包括脆弱的生态系统和同样脆弱的开放经济,面临独特的可持续发展问题和机遇。经济高度依赖农业和少数旅游活动,具有良好的旅游振兴和发展前景。大量的优惠资金、官方赠款和来自国外的私人净转移维持了该区域某些地区,特别是斯雷布雷尼察和布拉图纳茨(波黑)的发展方案。所有城市面临的主要问题之一是人口负增长和越来越多的年轻人永久离开该地区。自15世纪奥斯曼帝国入侵以来,由于沿河社区之间持续的种族和宗教斗争的动态历史,该地区提供了特定的政治和历史背景。前南斯拉夫在20世纪90年代初内战后解体,使前南斯拉夫控制的历史紧张局势重新抬头。德里纳河上的桥梁从未长久存在过。在波黑这样的背景下
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引用次数: 7
The Europeanization of Turkey and its impact on the Cyprus problem 土耳其的欧洲化及其对塞浦路斯问题的影响
Pub Date : 2008-11-18 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802493634
Kivanç Ulusoy
The European Council Summit in Helsinki in 1999 was a turning point in Turkey–EU relations. It radically transformed the nature of the relations through granting Turkey an official candidate status. The Summit also brought the EU to Turkey’s political agenda as a credible actor, difficult to disregard. The crucial aspect of this change in the nature of EU–Turkey relations is increasing pressure on Turkey to adopt European standards in several policy areas, including democracy and human rights. The current process of change, recently labelled as Europeanization, turns actually into a process of democratization, showing its clear impact even on the transformation of Turkey’s policy on such issues like the Cyprus problem with highly nationalist resonance and hard security content. The process of Europeanization in the post-1999 period gave the government of the Justice and Development Party (JDP) in Turkey a better chance to make manoeuvres on this issue dominated by the overwhelming power of military perspectives. However, the Europeanization process did not give a major change on the issue. The changes in Turkish foreign policy together with EU involvement only made the government vulnerable to the charges coming from circles of hard security as its initiatives did not deliver a positive result. The structure of the conflict preceded the changes in the action of the parties and the regional balance of power preceded the power of an external anchor, the EU, to change the balance. The EU involvement in the conflict only transformed the situation into a new impasse. The study will proceed as follows. Firstly, a theoretical background will be provided on the processes of Europeanization, democratization and foreign policy with special reference to the Turkish case. This will be followed by an examination of the Cyprus issue in Turkey–EU relations together with an analysis of the impact of Greek–Turkish rapprochement on the prospects of solution. The paper will be concluded by an assessment of the impact of Turkey’s Europeanization on the Cyprus issue.
1999年在赫尔辛基举行的欧洲理事会首脑会议是土耳其与欧盟关系的转折点。它通过给予土耳其正式候选国地位,从根本上改变了两国关系的性质。这次峰会还把欧盟作为一个可信的行动者带进了土耳其的政治议程,这是难以忽视的。欧盟与土耳其关系本质变化的一个关键方面是,土耳其面临越来越大的压力,要求其在包括民主和人权在内的几个政策领域采用欧洲标准。当前的变化过程,最近被称为欧洲化,实际上变成了民主化的过程,甚至对土耳其在塞浦路斯问题等具有高度民族主义共鸣和硬安全内容的问题上的政策转变也显示出明显的影响。1999年后的欧化进程给了土耳其正义与发展党(JDP)政府一个更好的机会,在这个由压倒性的军事观点主导的问题上进行演习。然而,欧化进程并没有给这个问题带来重大变化。土耳其外交政策的变化以及欧盟的介入只会使政府容易受到来自硬安全圈的指责,因为它的举措没有带来积极的结果。冲突的结构先于各方行为的变化,而区域力量平衡先于外部锚点欧盟的力量来改变这种平衡。欧盟对冲突的介入只会使局势陷入新的僵局。这项研究将进行如下。首先,将提供关于欧洲化、民主化和外交政策进程的理论背景,并特别参考土耳其的情况。随后将审查土耳其-欧盟关系中的塞浦路斯问题,并分析希腊-土耳其和解对解决前景的影响。该文件的最后将评估土耳其欧洲化对塞浦路斯问题的影响。
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引用次数: 35
EU enlargement in the Western Balkans: strategies of borrowing and inventing 欧盟在西巴尔干的扩张:借用和创造的策略
Pub Date : 2008-11-18 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802493600
A. Elbasani
At the turn of more than a decade of violent and rather uncertain transitions to democracy, the EU has envisaged a new vision for the Balkans - stable, self-sufficient democracies, at peace with themselves and each other, with market economies and the rule of law, and which will be either members of the EU or in the road to membership. The ambitious project builds on a new strategy, the so-called Stabilisation and Association Process (SAP), which for the first time comprises the perspective of European membership and outlines the tools of achieving that for all the countries in the region. The SAP has, thus, created high expectations for change, which are further nourished by the strong assumptions on the EU transformative power in the last wave of enlargement. Still, enlargement in the Western Balkans (WB) lacks both comparative analysis and depth of research, when compared to the bourgeoning literature on Central and East European Countries (CEEC). This article questions whether the SAP justifies the strong assumptions on the EU transformative power in the region. The article suggests that although the EU policies have advanced to embrace the promise of membership and outline the accession stages for all the Balkan countries, the loaded agenda of both stabilization and association coupled with a weaker promise of membership can arguably erode the power of enlargement conditionality in the region.
在向民主过渡的十多年的暴力和相当不确定的转折之际,欧盟为巴尔干半岛设想了一个新的愿景——稳定的、自给自足的民主国家,彼此和平相处,拥有市场经济和法治,这些国家要么是欧盟的成员,要么是在加入欧盟的道路上。这个雄心勃勃的项目建立在一项新战略之上,即所谓的“稳定与联合进程”(stability and Association Process,简称SAP),该战略首次包含了欧洲成员国的视角,并概述了该地区所有国家实现这一目标的工具。因此,SAP让人们对变革抱有很高的期望,而对欧盟在上一波东扩中具有变革力量的强烈假设,进一步助长了这种期望。然而,与中欧和东欧国家(CEEC)的新兴文献相比,西巴尔干(WB)的扩大缺乏比较分析和深入的研究。本文质疑SAP是否证明了欧盟在该地区具有变革力量的强大假设是正确的。文章认为,尽管欧盟的政策已经发展到接受成员国的承诺,并概述了所有巴尔干国家的加入阶段,但稳定和联合的繁重议程加上较弱的成员国承诺,可能会削弱该地区扩大条件的力量。
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引用次数: 37
Motivations and barriers of export performance: Greek exports to the Balkans 出口绩效的动机与障碍:希腊对巴尔干半岛的出口
Pub Date : 2008-11-18 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802493840
P. Liargovas, Konstantinos S. Skandalis
Foreign market entry can play a very significant role in a nation’s economic prosperity. There are essentially four principal means of foreign market entry: exporting, licensing, joint-venture partnering and wholly owned foreign investment. Exporting represents one of the most common entry modes to international markets. A country’s ability to compete successfully in world markets reflects its economic strength and marginal competence over other nations. Cavusgil, in integrating various export development strategies, identified five distinct stages: domestic marketing, pre-export stage, experimental involvement, active involvement and committed involvement. Exports can result directly or indirectly in a decrease in the unemployment rate and an increase of domestic production and economic growth. The process by which a firm demonstrates exporting behaviour is usually conceived as evolving through various stages. Greek exports in South-Eastern European countries (Balkans) are exceptionally high. Within the Balkans, the Greek export share has shown a significant increase in the last 15 years and has reached one of the first places in the ranking of the region’s leading exporters. The increased exports towards the neighbouring countries indicate a major change in the structure of Greek export activity over a short time. This increase comes in a period when Greek exports to EU markets have been declining. Furthermore, many Greek firms expanded into Balkan countries through foreign direct investment or participation in the construction of large infrastructure projects. The majority of these investment initiatives are concentrated in the fields of trade, finance services and manufacturing. For example, Greek firms are the region’s biggest investors in the telecommunications sector. In the context of our study, the case of Greek exporting firms is of particular interest since it exemplifies very well a situation in which exporters have to decide on the level of involvement and follow strategies in regions perceived to be close at the physical or psychological distance. Greek exporting firms would consider Eastern Europe as physically closer than other
进入国外市场对一个国家的经济繁荣起着非常重要的作用。基本上有四种进入外国市场的主要方式:出口、许可证、合资企业伙伴关系和独资外国投资。出口是进入国际市场最常见的方式之一。一个国家在世界市场上成功竞争的能力反映了它的经济实力和相对于其他国家的边际竞争力。Cavusgil在整合各种出口发展战略时,确定了五个不同的阶段:国内营销、出口前阶段、实验性参与、积极参与和承诺参与。出口可以直接或间接地导致失业率的下降和国内生产和经济增长的增加。企业展示出口行为的过程通常被认为是经过不同阶段的演变。希腊对东南欧国家(巴尔干半岛)的出口异常高。在巴尔干地区,希腊的出口份额在过去15年中有了显著的增长,并在该地区主要出口国的排名中名列前茅。向邻国出口的增加表明希腊出口活动的结构在短时间内发生了重大变化。这一增长发生在希腊对欧盟市场出口一直在下降的时期。此外,许多希腊公司通过外国直接投资或参与大型基础设施项目的建设,向巴尔干国家扩张。这些投资倡议大多集中在贸易、金融服务和制造业领域。例如,希腊公司是该地区电信行业最大的投资者。在我们的研究背景下,希腊出口公司的案例特别令人感兴趣,因为它很好地说明了一种情况,在这种情况下,出口商必须决定参与程度,并在被认为在物理或心理距离上接近的地区遵循战略。希腊出口企业会认为东欧在地理上比其他国家更近
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引用次数: 17
Response to Sabrina P. Ramet and John R. Lampe, ‘Debates’, JSEB, Vol. 10, No. 1, April 2008, in relation to Aleksa Djilas' review article ‘The Academic West and the Balkan Test’, published in JSEB, Vol. 9, No. 3, December 2007
Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802219013
Aleksa Djilas
Professor Sabrina P. Ramet complains that I have ‘dismissed out of hand’ her book Thinking About Yugoslavia: Scholarly Debates About the Yugoslav Breakup and the Wars in Bosnia and Kosovo. Yet, curiously, her reply is longer than that part of my review essay ‘The Academic West and the Balkan Test’ in which I deal solely with her work. My starting point in rejecting Thinking About Yugoslavia owed much to the critical views of America’s leading historical sociologist Michael Mann, which I considered applicable to Ramet’s book. Central was Mann’s insight: scholars who see the nation as a singular actor are themselves thinking like nationalists. Ramet, however, now claims that she agrees ‘wholeheartedly’ with Mann when he ‘rejects any attempt to chastise entire ethnic groups as perpetrators of expulsions and genocide’ (Ramet’s quote from my review essay). After supposedly establishing that this is not what she had done with the Serbs, Ramet delivers a harsh verdict: ‘ . . . Djilas is guilty of false attribution, attributing to me the accounts and views of others, which I merely report’. But does she, in fact, ‘merely report’ those numerous extremist narrations, descriptions and opinions? Are her own thoughts and beliefs different? I think not. Allow me a brief summary of what I have shown in my review essay. When Ramet informs us about various all-encompassing and unqualified attacks on
萨布丽娜·p·拉梅特教授抱怨说,我对她的书《关于南斯拉夫的思考:关于南斯拉夫解体以及波斯尼亚和科索沃战争的学术辩论》“不予理睬”。然而,奇怪的是,她的回复比我的评论文章《西方学术与巴尔干测试》的那部分还要长,在那部分中我只讨论了她的作品。我拒绝《南斯拉夫思考》的出发点在很大程度上要归功于美国著名历史社会学家迈克尔·曼(Michael Mann)的批判观点,我认为这些观点适用于拉梅特的书。曼恩的核心见解是:那些把国家视为单一角色的学者们,他们自己的思维方式就像民族主义者一样。然而,拉梅特现在声称,她“全心全意”同意曼恩的观点,因为曼恩“拒绝任何将整个种族群体作为驱逐和种族灭绝的肇事者进行惩罚的企图”(拉梅特引用我的评论文章)。在假定这不是她对塞尔维亚人所做的事情之后,拉梅特给出了一个严厉的判决:“……吉拉斯犯了错误的归因罪,他把别人的说法和观点归给了我,而我只是报道而已。”但事实上,她只是“报告”了那些无数极端主义的叙述、描述和观点吗?她自己的思想和信仰不同吗?我不这么认为。请允许我简要总结一下我在回顾文章中所展示的内容。当Ramet告诉我们各种无所不包的攻击
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引用次数: 0
Europeanization and party system mechanics: comparing Croatia, Serbia and Montenegro 欧化与政党制度机制:比较克罗地亚、塞尔维亚和黑山
Pub Date : 2008-07-17 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802146216
Danica Fink-Hafner
About a decade ago distinctions between ‘old’ European Union (EU) members and prospective members started to be made in the literature. Pointing out differences between the ‘old’ and ‘new’ EU member states has become a common approach in the current Europeanization literature since the 2004 EU enlargement wave. By now the number of countries expressing an interest in European integration processes has grown: differences have also increased among the prospective member states. Their geopolitical statuses and internal characteristics have brought about different characteristics and dynamics in the Europeanization process which still have to be fully researched. These ‘grey zones’ include analyses of domestic factors. So far they have usually been cited in the Europeanization literature as important variables, but they are still mostly treated as ‘a black box’ or have only been partially revealed (e.g. by taking into account veto players, NGOs, domestic costs, etc.). Of course, in the search for an answer to the question why governments facing very similar EU pre-conditions behave very differently in fulfilling them it is very important to look at the whole range of relevant international, regional and domestic political characteristics. By focusing on domestic factors in this paper we seek to contribute to closing the mentioned gap in research. Our focus is further narrowed to national party system mechanics in their responses to EU demands. We hypothesize that possible explanatory variables leading to the very different characteristics seen in party system mechanics are: (a) the institutionalization of the party system; (b) the European socialization of national parties; and (c) the characteristics of voters’ attitudes to their country’s integration with the EU. The hypothesis is tested on three countries with different relations with the EU at the time of writing: Croatia, Serbia and Montenegro. While testing the hypothesis we also take into account common Europeanization (European Union) pressures and common characteristics (controlled variables) such as former communist rule, involvement in a war and a postponed transition to a democracy. For the analysis we use data gathered within the framework of several research projects
大约十年前,人们开始在文献中区分“旧”欧盟(EU)成员国和潜在成员国。自2004年欧盟扩大浪潮以来,指出“旧”和“新”欧盟成员国之间的差异已成为当前欧洲化文献中的一种常见方法。到目前为止,表示对欧洲一体化进程感兴趣的国家数量有所增加,潜在成员国之间的分歧也有所增加。它们的地缘政治地位和内部特征决定了它们在欧洲化进程中的不同特征和动态,这些特征和动态还有待深入研究。这些“灰色地带”包括对国内因素的分析。到目前为止,它们通常在欧化文献中被引用为重要的变量,但它们仍然大多被视为“黑箱”或只被部分揭示(例如,通过考虑否决权参与者,非政府组织,国内成本等)。当然,在寻找这个问题的答案时,为什么面临非常相似的欧盟先决条件的政府在履行这些条件时表现得非常不同,这是非常重要的,看看相关的国际、地区和国内政治特征的整个范围。通过对国内因素的关注,我们试图为缩小上述研究差距做出贡献。我们的重点进一步缩小到各国政党制度机制对欧盟要求的回应。我们假设,导致政党制度机制中所见的非常不同特征的可能解释变量是:(a)政党制度的制度化;(b)各国政党的欧洲社会化;(c)选民对本国与欧盟一体化的态度特征。在撰写本文时,这一假设在克罗地亚、塞尔维亚和黑山这三个与欧盟关系不同的国家进行了检验。在检验这一假设的同时,我们还考虑了共同的欧洲化(欧盟)压力和共同的特征(受控变量),如前共产主义统治、卷入战争和向民主过渡的推迟。为了进行分析,我们使用了在几个研究项目框架内收集的数据
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引用次数: 29
Have democratization processes been a catalyst for the Europeanization of party politics in Slovenia? 民主化进程是否成为斯洛文尼亚政党政治欧洲化的催化剂?
Pub Date : 2008-07-17 DOI: 10.1080/14613190802146315
Alenika KraŠovec, Damjan Lajh
It was connected very closely with two main processes of political modernisation that had happened at the end of the 1980s and the beginning of the 1990s. First, there were gradual processes of liberalisation and later democratisation, which were results of social and political struggles between the old Slovenian political elite and the growing civil society, which was the base for new opposition parties
它与20世纪80年代末和90年代初发生的两大政治现代化进程密切相关。首先是渐进的自由化和后来的民主化进程,这是斯洛文尼亚旧的政治精英和日益壮大的公民社会之间的社会和政治斗争的结果,而公民社会是新的反对党的基础
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Journal of Southern Europe and the Balkans
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