信用评分,使用机器学习对消费贷款进行分类

Azaria Natasha, D. Prastyo, Suhartono
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引用次数: 4

摘要

信用风险是由于债务人无力偿还本金或利息债务或两者兼而有之的债务义务而造成的潜在损失。金融部门信用风险的分类在绘制消费者风险地图方面具有重要作用。错误的分类会产生连锁效应,如不良信贷的出现、金融稳定的破坏,从而导致银行损失。信用风险分类将客户贷款分为两类,良好的付款人或不良的付款人(违约)。本研究的目的是对消费者的风险进行分类,使违约风险最小化。在过去的几十年里,信用评分的参数化技术被应用于金融领域,即判别分析和二元逻辑回归。在过去的二十年中,非参数机器学习方法,如神经网络和支持向量机。本研究比较了几种非参数机器学习和参数统计方法对客户贷款进行分类的性能。对客户贷款进行分类的最佳方法是DNN,在测试数据集中,神经元个数h1 = 10, h2 = 3, AUC值为0.638。信用风险是由于债务人无力偿还本金或利息债务或两者兼而有之的债务义务而造成的潜在损失。金融部门信用风险的分类在绘制消费者风险地图方面具有重要作用。错误的分类会产生连锁效应,如不良信贷的出现、金融稳定的破坏,从而导致银行损失。信用风险分类将客户贷款分为两类,良好的付款人或不良的付款人(违约)。本研究的目的是对消费者的风险进行分类,使违约风险最小化。在过去的几十年里,信用评分的参数化技术被应用于金融领域,即判别分析和二元逻辑回归。在过去的二十年中,非参数机器学习方法,如神经网络和支持向量机。这项研究是比较…
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Credit scoring to classify consumer loan using machine learning
Credit risk is a potential loss caused by the inability of the debtor to the obligations of debt repayment of either principal or interest debt or both. The classification of credit risk in the financial sector has an essential role in mapping the consumer risk. The wrong classification raises chain effects such as the emergence of bad credit, disruption of financial stability, which lead to banking losses. Classification in credit risk categories the customer loan into two types, good payers or bad payers (default). The aim of this research is to classify consumer’s risk to minimize the risk of default. In the past decades, credit scoring using parametric techniques has been applied in the financial field, namely Discriminant Analysis and Binary Logistic Regression. In the last two decades, the non-parametric machine learning approaches, such as Neural Network and Support Vector Machine. Recently, Deep Learning era has been studied widely in credit scoring, like Deep Neural Network. This study is comparing the performance of several methods of non-parametric machine learning and parametric statistics to classify customer loans. Best method to classify customer loan is DNN with number of neuron in h1 = 10, h2 = 3 with value of AUC is 0.638 in testing dataset.Credit risk is a potential loss caused by the inability of the debtor to the obligations of debt repayment of either principal or interest debt or both. The classification of credit risk in the financial sector has an essential role in mapping the consumer risk. The wrong classification raises chain effects such as the emergence of bad credit, disruption of financial stability, which lead to banking losses. Classification in credit risk categories the customer loan into two types, good payers or bad payers (default). The aim of this research is to classify consumer’s risk to minimize the risk of default. In the past decades, credit scoring using parametric techniques has been applied in the financial field, namely Discriminant Analysis and Binary Logistic Regression. In the last two decades, the non-parametric machine learning approaches, such as Neural Network and Support Vector Machine. Recently, Deep Learning era has been studied widely in credit scoring, like Deep Neural Network. This study is compari...
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