参考德里NCR,“投票行为”可以做出更好的选择

Amit K. Gupta, Dr. Mohit Sharma
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摘要

现有的政治经济学模型倾向于研究更多的信息如何影响选举问责制或投票率。然而,我们的证据和理论推理表明,信息应该影响选民行为的两个边缘。本文的一个贡献是提供了一个模型,该模型确定了当投票率是内生的时,信息增加选举问责的条件。我们考虑这样一种经济环境,在这种经济环境中,道德选民的亚群面临投票成本,但他们仍可能为了群体福利最大化而选择投票。我们假设这些选民倾向于他们认为表现更好的政客,因为他们的表现是根据成绩单来衡量的。关于现任总统表现的更精确的信息增加了投票给首选候选人的预期收益,因此通常会增加投票率并减少买票行为。在合理的条件下,更精确的表现和资格信号也会提高表现较好的现任者的选票份额。最后,投票率如何随现任总统的表现而变化取决于选民的经验。
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‘Voting Behavior’ to Make Better Choice With Reference to Delhi NCR
Existing political economy models have tended to examine how more information influences either electoral accountability or on turnout. Our evidence and theoretical reasoning, however, suggests that information should influence both margins of voter behavior. One contribution of this paper is to provide a model which identifies the conditions under which information increases electoral accountability when turnout is endogenous. We consider an economic environment in which a sub-population of ethical voters face a cost of voting but may still choose to vote in order to maximize group welfare. We assume that these voters favor politicians whom they expect to perform better, where performance is measured along the lines framed by the report cards. More precise information about incumbent performance increases the expected benefits from voting for the preferred candidate and, therefore, typically increases turnout and reduces vote buying. More precise performance and qualification signals also boost the vote share of better performing incumbents under reasonable conditions. Finally, how turnout varies with incumbent performance depends on voters’ priors.
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