印尼伊斯兰银行不良融资的宏观和微观因素分析

Yolanda Fransiska, Pani Akhiruddin Siregar
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摘要

本研究旨在分析印尼伊斯兰银行不良融资的宏观经济和微观经济因素。通货膨胀和BI7DRR是宏观经济因素。CAR和BOPO是微观经济因素的指标。NPF是一个有问题的融资指标。研究方法用定量方法描述了多元线性回归分析模型。人口数据来自印度尼西亚银行和伊斯兰商业银行的财务比率,通过金融服务管理局的印度尼西亚伊斯兰银行统计数据获得。该数据为次级数据,为2018年1月至2022年11月的月度数据,因此获得59个数据样本进行进一步分析。抽样技术通过有目的的抽样来实现非概率。研究结果如下:(1)估计模型的R2值为0.738,代表决定系数的值。这意味着73,80%的因变量变化可以用该模型中的自变量来解释。剩余的26.20%是由模型中未包含的其他原因解释的;2)回归模型对自变量同时影响因变量,使自变量回归模型可以用来预测因变量;(3)本研究得出影响显著的宏观经济因素是通货膨胀和BI7DRR,可用于分析印尼伊斯兰银行的不良融资。本研究还得出CAR和BOPO作为微观经济因素没有影响,不能用于分析印尼Sharia银行的不良融资。虽然CAR和BOPO的结果是显著的。
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The Analysis of Macroeconomic and Microeconomic Factors in Non-Performing Financing of Sharia Bank in Indonesia
This study aims to analysis of macroeconomic and microeconomic factors in non-performing financing of Sharia Bank in Indonesia. Inflation and the BI7DRR are macroeconomic factors. CAR and BOPO are indicators of microeconomic factors. NPF is a problematic financing indicator. Research methods with quantitative methods described in multiple linear regression analysis models. The population is obtained from the Bank Indonesia and Financial Ratios of Sharia Commercial Banks through the Sharia Indonesia Banking Statistics of the Financial Services Authority. The data is secondary in the form of monthly data for the period January 2018 to November 2022, so that a sample of 59 data was obtained for further analysis. Sampling techniques nonprobability by means of purposive sampling. The results of the study are as follows: (1) The estimation model shows an R2 value of 0,738 which represents the value of the coefficient of determination. This means that 73,80% of the dependent variable variation is able to be explained by the independent variables in this model. The remaining 26,20% is explained by other causes that are not included in the model; 2) The regression model on the independent variable simultaneously influence the dependent variable, so that the independent variable regression model can be used to predict the dependent variable; and (3) This research produced output that the influential and significant ones are Inflation and BI7DRR as macroeconomic factors that can be used to analysis non-performing financing of Sharia Bank in Indonesia. This research also produced an output that CAR and BOPO have no influential as microeconomic factors that cannot be used to analysis non-performing financing of Sharia Bank in Indonesia. Although CAR and BOPO the results are significant.
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