罗马尼亚12月后的总统选举——对民主化的双重影响

Roxana-Elena Mosor
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摘要

鉴于21世纪的现实,越来越明显的是,巩固民主的道路是一条双向的道路。当然,自由、公平和竞争性的选举是年轻民主国家实现民主化的最低条件。选举可以在很大程度上影响民主巩固的方式和内在特征。强调总统选举与民主化之间的关系需要进行超越选举环境所赋予的程序和结构性机会的分析。就罗马尼亚而言,如果认为过渡游戏随着极权主义政权的废除和第一次自由选举的组织而结束,那么巩固民主的游戏仍在继续。每一轮选举都会提高或降低即将到来的竞争的利害关系。在这一连串的选举中,12月之后的历史有几个时刻被视为民主化的里程碑。如果我们把它们与治理的交替时期重叠,那么关于民主巩固的讨论就会突然简化,适用双重交替规则。然而,如果我们解读公民“脉搏”的关键,我们将把这些时刻与总统选举重叠在一起。在这方面的第一个论点是,选举总统的选票仍然很高,只与市长和地方议员的选票竞争。但是,总统选举对罗马尼亚民主化进程的影响是否比其他类型的选举更大?它是阻碍还是相反,促进了民主的巩固?答案可以让我们深入了解过去三十年来罗马尼亚民主的建设和体制稳定性。分析的重点将是选举舞台上的主要行动者:权力代表、反对派和选民之间关系的动态变化。
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Presidential Elections in Post-December Romania - Bivalent Influences on Democratization
In the light of the realities of the 21st century, it is becoming increasingly obvious that the road to democratic consolidation is a two-way street. Free, fair, competitive elections are, of course, the minimum condition for democratization for young democracies. Elections can, to a large extent, influence the way of democratic consolidation and intrinsic characteristics. Highlighting a relationship between presidential elections and democratization requires an analysis beyond the procedures and the structural opportunities that the electoral context confers. If, in the case of Romania, the transition game is considered to be concluded with the abolition of the totalitarian regime and the organization of the first free elections, the game of democratic consolidation continues. Each round of elections raises or lowers the stake of the upcoming competition. In this succession of elections, the post-December history holds a few moments as a landmark of democratization. If we overlap them with times of alternation in governance, the discussion of democratic consolidation is suddenly simplified, applying the double alternation rule. If, however, we interpret the key to the civic "pulse", we will overlap these moments rather over the presidential ballots. A first argument in this respect is the still high vote to elect the president, only competed with the vote for mayors and local councillors. But does the presidential election more than other types of elections in post-December Romania influence the course of democratization and how? Does it impede or, on the contrary, boost democratic consolidation? The answer can provide insight into the construction and institutional solidity of democracy in Romania over the last three decades. The focal point of the analysis will be the dynamics of the relations between the main actors of the electoral arena: representatives of the power, opposition and voters.
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