气候变化与国际冲突:气候变化对尼罗河的影响如何影响埃及-埃塞俄比亚冲突

R. Mohammad
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这篇文章旨在解释气候变化对埃及和埃塞俄比亚之间国际冲突的影响。世界各地已经感受到气候变化的现象,但如果它波及尼罗河等热点地区,其影响将更加显著。因此,首先,作者将描述气候变化与国际冲突之间的关系的文献综述。其次,文章将解释尼罗河的气候变化现象如何导致一些安全风险,特别是对埃及。本研究的结论是,尼罗河的气候变化现象会加剧埃及和埃塞俄比亚之间的冲突升级,同时由于气候变化,埃及的水、粮食和经济安全受到威胁。尽管许多人怀疑武装冲突的可能性,但尼罗河作为气候变化的热点地区之一,加上缺乏全面的国际河流管理,使得所有选择仍然是重要的,必须谨慎采取。
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Climate Change and International Conflict: How Climate Change’s Impact on the Nile Affects Egypt-Ethiopia Conflict
This article aims to explain the influence of climate change on the international conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia. Climate change phenomenon was already felt in various parts of the world, but its impact will be more significant if it hits hotspot areas such as the Nile. Therefore, first, the author will describe a literature review of relations between climate change and international conflict. Second, the article will explain how the climate change phenomenon in the Nile is resulting in some security risks, especially toward Egypt. The result of this research concludes that the climate change phenomenon in the Nile can exacerbate the conflict escalation between Egypt and Ethiopia along with security threats in Egyptian water, food, and economy as the result of climate change. Although many who doubt the possibility of armed conflict, Nile’s condition as one of the hotspots areas of climate change and coupled with the absence of comprehensive international river management make all options are still counted and must be undertaken cautiously.
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