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Azerbaijan's Strategy to Win the Conflict over the Nagorno-Karabakh Territory with Armenia in 2020 阿塞拜疆在2020年赢得与亚美尼亚关于纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫领土冲突的战略
Pub Date : 2023-07-12 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v7i1.49
Maretha Syawallin Umarach, Ali Muhammad
Decades ago, Armenia and Azerbaijan, two countries in the South Caucasus region, had disagreements over a territorial dispute called Nagorno-Karabakh. In 1921, the Government of the Soviet Union annexed the predominantly ethnic Armenian Nagorno-Karabakh into Azerbaijan. However, after the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, Armenian separatists seized Nagorno-Karabakh in an incident backed by the Armenian Government. Azerbaijan showed its distaste for this treatment, resulting in fighting between Azerbaijan and Armenia, where around 30,000 people died. Before 2020, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict could be frozen due to strenuous peace efforts even though various parties had intervened to find the best solution. Until November 10, 2020, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to sign an agreement to stop the fighting that had been taking place in the Nagorno-Karabakh region. The ceasefire was signed after Azerbaijani military forces managed to control most of Nagorno-Karabakh. This study uses an offensive realism paradigm to analyze Azerbaijan's strategy to win the conflict over the Nagorno-Karabakh region with Armenia in 2020. The results revealed that Azerbaijan developed beneficial diplomatic relations with Turkey, Israel and Russia. These countries later assisted. One of them was the assistance of military equipment which enabled Azerbaijan to win the war against Armenia.
几十年前,南高加索地区的两个国家亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆在纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫的领土争端上存在分歧。1921年,苏联政府将以亚美尼亚人为主的纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫并入阿塞拜疆。然而,1991年苏联解体后,亚美尼亚分离主义分子在亚美尼亚政府支持的一次事件中占领了纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫。阿塞拜疆对这种待遇表示厌恶,导致阿塞拜疆和亚美尼亚之间发生战斗,约有3万人死亡。在2020年之前,纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫冲突可能会由于艰苦的和平努力而冻结,尽管各方都进行了干预,以寻找最佳解决方案。直到2020年11月10日,阿塞拜疆总统伊利哈姆·阿利耶夫、亚美尼亚总理尼科尔·帕希尼扬和俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京同意签署一项协议,停止在纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫地区发生的战斗。在阿塞拜疆军队成功控制了纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫的大部分地区之后,双方签署了停火协议。本研究使用进攻性现实主义范式来分析阿塞拜疆在2020年赢得与亚美尼亚在纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫地区冲突的战略。结果显示,阿塞拜疆与土耳其、以色列和俄罗斯发展了有益的外交关系。这些国家后来提供了援助。其中之一是军事装备的援助,这使阿塞拜疆赢得了对亚美尼亚的战争。
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引用次数: 0
Policy on Maritime Border Disputes Between Indonesia and Australia: Stephen M. Walt’s Neorealism Perspective 印尼与澳大利亚海上边界争端政策:斯蒂芬·m·沃尔特的新现实主义视角
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v7i1.8
Nadia Saidah Rahayu, Najma Imtinan Rasaf, Ghana Aldila Septiani, Penny Respati Yurisa
Indonesia is a maritime country with an Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) covering an area of 7.81 million square kilometers. Consequently, Indonesia has numerous disputes with neighboring countries regarding maritime boundaries in the EEZ, particularly with Australia. Several incidents have strained the relationship between the two countries. For example, from December 2013 to January 2014, there were six instances of the Australian Navy unintentionally violating Indonesian waters during border operations. Other issues include illegal fishing, human trafficking, illegal transshipment, and, more recently, an Australian warship's breach of Indonesian waters on September 8, 2022. Maritime boundary disputes occur when two or more countries have overlapping claims in the same maritime territory. These disputes can be caused by differences in the interpretation of international law, conflicting economic interests, historical or cultural claims, or geopolitical tensions between the involved nations. Maritime boundary disputes can be resolved through negotiations, international arbitration, mediation, or legal processes. In this case, the neorealism theory, developed by Stephen M. Walt, provides an understanding of international relations, changes in power structures, conflicts, cooperation among nations, and the factors influencing foreign policies. By applying Stephen M. Walt's neorealism theory, this study analyzes the policy frameworks of Indonesia and Australia in managing their international relations and the factors that have led to the disputes between the two.
印尼是一个海洋国家,拥有781万平方公里的专属经济区。因此,印度尼西亚与邻国在专属经济区的海上边界问题上存在许多争端,特别是与澳大利亚。几起事件使两国关系紧张。例如,从2013年12月到2014年1月,澳大利亚海军在边境行动中有6次无意侵犯印尼水域。其他问题还包括非法捕鱼、贩卖人口、非法转运,以及最近的一艘澳大利亚军舰于2022年9月8日闯入印尼水域。当两个或两个以上的国家在同一海洋领土上有重叠的主张时,就会发生海洋边界争端。这些争端可能是由对国际法的不同解释、冲突的经济利益、历史或文化主张、或相关国家之间的地缘政治紧张局势引起的。海洋边界争议可以通过谈判、国际仲裁、调解或法律程序解决。在这种情况下,由斯蒂芬·m·沃尔特提出的新现实主义理论提供了对国际关系、权力结构变化、冲突、国家间合作以及影响外交政策的因素的理解。本研究运用斯蒂芬·沃尔特的新现实主义理论,分析了印度尼西亚和澳大利亚在处理国际关系方面的政策框架,以及导致两国之间争端的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Grain Corridor Agreement and Turkey’s Role in the Russia-Ukraine War 粮食走廊协议与土耳其在俄乌战争中的角色
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v7i1.27
H. Ay, Adnan Söylemez
On the morning of February 24, 2022, when the Russian military entered Ukraine and launched air and missile raids on the targets it detected in the depths of this country, a war started in the east of Europe. As a result of the war between two of the world’s largest grain producers, a global grain crisis is taking place. Turkey has long sought to emphasize connectivity and strengthen its strategic position at the intercontinental crossroads between Europe and Asia. Functionally, Turkey serves as a vital transit corridor for key resources such as energy and food supplies, which becomes even more important given the economic and trade disruptions of Russia’s war in Ukraine. This study analyzed Turkey’s diplomatic efforts and policies during the war and the food deal process.
2022年2月24日上午,当俄罗斯军队进入乌克兰,对其在该国深处探测到的目标发动空袭和导弹袭击时,一场战争在东欧开始了。由于世界上最大的两个粮食生产国之间的战争,一场全球粮食危机正在发生。土耳其长期以来一直寻求强调互联互通,加强其在欧亚洲际十字路口的战略地位。从功能上讲,土耳其是能源和食品供应等关键资源的重要中转通道,考虑到俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争对经济和贸易的破坏,这一点变得更加重要。本研究分析了土耳其在战争和食品交易过程中的外交努力和政策。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of the Aukus Trilateral Security Pact on South Pacific Regional Security 《奥库斯三边安全条约》对南太平洋地区安全的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v7i1.16
Yulia Rimapradesi, Bagaskara Sagita Wijaya, Zulfa Karima
The AUKUS Trilateral Security Pact is a form of collective security cooperation, and this study examines its effects on South Pacific regional security. To stabilize regional security in the South Pacific, which is a main target of China’s maritime ambitions, the authors emphasize the urgency of AUKUS’s presence. To shed light on the issue, the authors used the collective security concept to dissect the framework of cooperation, the motives of AUKUS, and the Security Dilemma concept to explain how geopolitical shifts affect the security stability of the South Pacific. This research employed qualitative methods with an explanatory type of research. In this type of research, the formulated hypothesis was tested to see how the variables under study affected one another. According to this research’s findings, AUKUS’s approach to military confrontation as a partnership for collective security actually encourages an aggressive coalition and poses a security risk, thereby increasing the likelihood of further conflict in the South Pacific region.
《AUKUS三边安全公约》是集体安全合作的一种形式,本研究考察其对南太平洋地区安全的影响。为了稳定南太平洋地区的安全,这是中国海上野心的主要目标,作者强调了AUKUS存在的紧迫性。为了阐明这一问题,作者使用集体安全概念来剖析合作框架,AUKUS的动机,以及安全困境概念来解释地缘政治变化如何影响南太平洋的安全稳定。本研究采用定性研究方法,以解释性研究为主。在这种类型的研究中,公式假设被检验,看看所研究的变量是如何相互影响的。根据这项研究的结果,AUKUS将军事对抗作为集体安全的伙伴关系的做法实际上鼓励了一个侵略性的联盟,并构成了安全风险,从而增加了南太平洋地区进一步冲突的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Critical Discourse Analysis of President Joe Biden’s Russophobia Rhetorical Remarks Before The 77th United Nations General Assembly 美国总统拜登在第77届联合国大会上的恐俄言论的批评性话语分析
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v7i1.29
Hilman Mahmud Akmal Ma'arif, A. Maksum
This study investigates the extent to which President Joe Biden's speech before the 77th session of the UN General Assembly reflects US foreign policy towards Russia and Ukraine. The sample of this study was sourced from manuscripts of President Joe Biden's speeches obtained through the official US state website (www.whitehouse.com), which were then elaborated with referential sources, such as website articles, online news, and journal articles accessed via Scopus and Google Scholar. The study used Critical Discourse Analysis (CDA) to analyze President Biden's speech, delivered on September 21, 2022. The speech was transcribed and analyzed utilizing the VOS Viewer and NVivo 12 Plus applications. The findings revealed that President Biden's speech emphasized the importance of the sovereign equality principle and criticized the inconsistent use of the Veto Right by Russia and the US in the UN Security Council. The speech also discouraged Russophobia and implied a willingness to engage in diplomatic negotiations with Russia. This research contributes to the literature on US foreign policy towards Russia and Ukraine by providing a detailed analysis of President Biden's speech. The findings suggest that the US is committed to upholding the sovereign equality principle and engaging in constructive diplomacy with Russia.
本研究调查了乔·拜登总统在第77届联合国大会上的演讲在多大程度上反映了美国对俄罗斯和乌克兰的外交政策。本研究的样本来源于通过美国官方网站(www.whitehouse.com)获得的乔·拜登总统的演讲手稿,然后与参考来源进行了详细阐述,例如网站文章,在线新闻,以及通过Scopus和Google Scholar访问的期刊文章。该研究使用批评话语分析(CDA)分析了拜登总统于2022年9月21日发表的演讲。利用VOS Viewer和NVivo 12 Plus应用程序对演讲进行转录和分析。调查结果显示,拜登总统的演讲强调了主权平等原则的重要性,并批评了俄罗斯和美国在联合国安理会中不一致地使用否决权。奥巴马的讲话还打消了对俄罗斯的恐惧,并暗示愿意与俄罗斯进行外交谈判。本研究通过对拜登总统的演讲进行详细分析,为美国对俄罗斯和乌克兰的外交政策文献做出了贡献。调查结果表明,美国致力于维护主权平等原则,并与俄罗斯进行建设性外交。
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引用次数: 0
China's Path towards Global Green Governance on Rare Earth Elements: Challenges and Opportunities 中国稀土元素全球绿色治理之路:挑战与机遇
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v7i1.26
Joshua Gerry Mangkubudi, Triesanto Romulo Simanjuntak
In light of surging demands for critical minerals and its rising profile as a global provider, China can no longer dismiss the negative ecological externalities resulting from its unregulated, near-monopoly production of rare earth elements (REE) since the 1970s. REE, consisting of 17 elements with naturally enhanced chemical properties, is critical for manufacturing future green infrastructures and technologies. However, the extraction and refining processes are resource-intensive and toxic to the immediate environment, further exacerbated by improper radioactive waste management, underfunded land restoration, and illegal mining. By extension, China’s supply supremacy came at the cost of socio-ecological deprivation disproportionately experienced by the local community compared to the beneficiary beyond borders. This study aims to assess the challenges and opportunities for China as they seek global leadership in green governance through its post-reform sustainable development model guided by Ecological Civilization (EC) principle. Using narrative analysis methods, we seek to assess the intersection among three threads: the historical account of China’s REE global dominance, their elite-based approach to governance, and the unmitigated socio-ecological impacts on the local community; regarding EC and its derivatives. While domestic consolidation is strategically integral to China’s EC-guided development agenda, it poses dormant risks of supply volatility for international markets, and innovative secondary production becomes the new source of competitive edge for supply diversification and norm-making power.
鉴于对关键矿物的需求激增,以及中国作为全球供应国的地位日益提升,中国不能再忽视自上世纪70年代以来其不受监管、近乎垄断的稀土元素生产所带来的负面生态外部性。稀土元素由17种具有天然增强化学性质的元素组成,对于制造未来的绿色基础设施和技术至关重要。然而,提取和提炼过程是资源密集型的,对周围环境有毒,而不当的放射性废物管理、资金不足的土地恢复和非法采矿进一步加剧了这一问题。推而远之,中国的供应优势是以社会生态剥夺为代价的,与境外的受益者相比,当地社区遭受了不成比例的剥夺。本研究旨在评估中国通过以生态文明(EC)原则为指导的改革后可持续发展模式在绿色治理方面寻求全球领导地位所面临的挑战和机遇。利用叙事分析方法,我们试图评估三条线索之间的交集:中国REE全球主导地位的历史解释,他们基于精英的治理方法,以及对当地社区的社会生态影响;关于EC及其衍生物。虽然国内整合是中国以欧盟为导向的发展议程的战略组成部分,但它也为国际市场带来了潜在的供应波动风险,而创新的二次生产成为供应多样化和规范制定力的新竞争优势来源。
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引用次数: 0
Middle East Refugee Crisis in Europe and Turkey : A Systematic Literature Review 欧洲与土耳其的中东难民危机:系统的文献回顾
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v7i1.10
Felicia Nabila Putri, Salahuddin, Syamsul Rizal, Gonda Yumitro
This study aims to discuss how the European Union and Turkey deal with the Syrian refugee crisis. The research method used in this study was a systematic literature review using 504 scientific articles sourced from the Scopus database. In reviewing the articles, the authors used the Vosviewer application. The results revealed that Syrian refugees were accommodated correctly and facilitated properly and contributed to the problem by providing insight into digital literacy, information needs, and strategies among Syrian and Iraqi refugees entering Europe and changing perspectives on migrants and refugees as passive victims of this event made to make Syrian refugee decisions to stay in Germany, in an econometric strategy based on estimating models of equality in social unity, economic integration and the decision to stay. The results contribute to developing a research roadmap on the Syrian internecine crisis in Turkey and the European Union and contribute to international relations science. Turkey and the European Union. Subsequent research must use scientific articles from other reputable international databases, such as Web of Science and Dimensions Scholars.
本研究旨在探讨欧盟和土耳其如何应对叙利亚难民危机。本研究采用的研究方法是系统的文献综述,使用来自Scopus数据库的504篇科学论文。在审阅文章时,作者使用了Vosviewer应用程序。结果显示,叙利亚难民得到了正确的安置和便利,并通过深入了解进入欧洲的叙利亚和伊拉克难民的数字素养、信息需求和策略,以及改变对移民和难民作为这一事件的被动受害者的看法,从而使叙利亚难民决定留在德国,从而促进了问题的解决,这是基于社会团结平等估计模型的计量经济学策略。经济一体化和留下的决定。研究结果有助于制定土耳其和欧盟叙利亚内战危机的研究路线图,并为国际关系科学做出贡献。土耳其和欧盟。后续研究必须使用来自其他知名国际数据库的科学文章,如Web of Science和Dimensions Scholars。
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引用次数: 0
Confidence Building Measures (CBMs) between India and Pakistan 印度和巴基斯坦之间建立信任措施
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v7i1.46
Younis Ahmad Sheikh
Confidence Building Measures (CBMs) play a crucial role in promoting stability and trust between India and Pakistan. This article, therefore, examines the different domains of CBMs, including political, military, economic, people-to-people, and nuclear, and highlights their significance in reducing tensions and fostering cooperation. Various examples of CBMs, such as hotlines between military authorities, cultural exchanges, economic cooperation, and religious pilgrimages, are explored to showcase their positive impact on communication and understanding. The paper also discusses the prospects and recommendations for CBMs, emphasizing sustained dialogue, economic cooperation, strengthened military CBMs, and exploring non-traditional security dimensions. By prioritizing CBMs, India and Pakistan can create a more stable and peaceful environment, paving the way for conflict resolution and long-term peace in the region. It is important to note that the study is completely based on secondary data; no primary research or data collection was conducted for this specific study.
建立信任措施在促进印巴之间的稳定和信任方面发挥着至关重要的作用。因此,本文考察了信任措施的不同领域,包括政治、军事、经济、民间和核领域,并强调了它们在缓解紧张局势和促进合作方面的重要性。会议还探讨了军事当局热线、文化交流、经济合作、宗教朝圣等建立信任措施的各种实例,以展示信任措施对沟通和理解的积极影响。文件还讨论了建立信任措施的前景和建议,强调持续对话、经济合作、加强军事信任措施、探索非传统安全领域。通过优先考虑建立信任措施,印度和巴基斯坦可以创造一个更加稳定与和平的环境,为解决冲突和地区长期和平铺平道路。值得注意的是,这项研究完全基于二手数据;本研究没有进行初步研究或数据收集。
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引用次数: 0
Representation of Religious Conflict in Local Media 宗教冲突在地方媒体中的表现
Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v6i2.16165
Encep Dul Wahab, Darajat Wibawa, Enjang Muhaemin, D. Astuti
The media always try their best to represent reality for their audiences, with the hope of retaining readers and increasing company revenues. However, in depicting the reality of religious conflict, the media often contradicts the norms, ethics, and code of ethics of journalism itself. The purpose of this study was to determine the representation of religious conflict in local media, namely the Ahmadiyah conflict in West Java, which was published in the Pikiran Rakyat in news coverage from 2010 to 2011. This study used Teun A. van Dijk's critical discourse analysis method. The results of the study show that Pikiran Rakyat represents the Ahmadiyah conflict in various ways, including dividing the object of its reporting into two camps, strong and weak, by branding Ahmadiyah as a deviant, banned, and disbanded organization. The strong side is an organization supported by the government, and the weak side is Ahmadiyah, which does not receive government protection and support. Pikiran Rakyat presents news sources in this religious conflict in an unfair and balanced manner, presenting more news sources from the majority than Ahmadiyah as a minority. Pikiran Rakyat also represents ways of resolving the Ahmadiyah conflict.
媒体总是尽最大努力为观众呈现现实,希望留住读者,增加公司收入。然而,在描述宗教冲突的现实时,媒体往往与新闻本身的规范、伦理和道德准则相矛盾。本研究的目的是确定宗教冲突在当地媒体中的代表性,即2010年至2011年在《人民日报》(Pikiran Rakyat)的新闻报道中发表的西爪哇的艾哈迈迪亚教派冲突。本研究采用了Teun A. van Dijk的批评话语分析方法。研究结果显示,Pikiran Rakyat以各种方式呈现Ahmadiyah冲突,包括将其报道对象分为强弱两大阵营,将Ahmadiyah定性为异端、被禁和被解散的组织。强势的一方是政府支持的组织,弱势的一方是得不到政府保护和支持的艾哈迈迪耶。人民日报以不公平和平衡的方式呈现这场宗教冲突的新闻来源,呈现更多来自多数派的新闻来源,而不是少数派的艾哈迈迪亚派。人民团结大会也代表了解决艾哈迈迪亚教派冲突的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Propaganda and Political Memes on Social Media in the 2019 Indonesian Presidential Election 2019年印尼总统大选中的社交媒体宣传与政治模因
Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.18196/jiwp.v6i2.16115
Political memes colored the 2019 Indonesian presidential election campaign on social media. Political memes have become one of the propaganda strategies to influence public opinion to gain political support from the public before the presidential election. This study aims to analyze and understand political memes as a medium of political propaganda in the 2019 Indonesian presidential election. This study uses critical discourse analysis to uncover the meaning behind the text. The data collection technique uses documentation in the form of political memes of the two presidential candidates, both in images and political symbols scattered on social media in the January – March 2019 period. Furthermore, the data will be analyzed using Fairclough's critical discourse analysis model to find out the meaning of the text. This study indicates that social media plays an essential role in political communication in the 2019 presidential election campaign. Social media is a cheap and fast means of spreading political memes that reach potential voters widely and massively. Through political memes, Joko Widodo often talks about having links with the Indonesian Communist Party. Meanwhile, Prabowo Subianto is often spoken of by his political opponents as a supporter of the caliphate in Indonesia. These political memes are used as political propaganda to construct or deconstruct political presidential candidates' discourse and build or damage the reputation of presidential candidates to influence public opinion.
社交媒体上的政治表情包为2019年印尼总统大选增添了色彩。政治模因已经成为大选前影响民意、获得公众政治支持的宣传策略之一。本研究旨在分析和理解政治模因作为2019年印尼总统选举的政治宣传媒介。本研究运用批判性话语分析来揭示文本背后的意义。该数据收集技术使用了2019年1月至3月期间散布在社交媒体上的两位总统候选人的政治表情包形式的文件,包括图像和政治符号。然后,使用费尔克劳的批评话语分析模型对数据进行分析,找出文本的意义。这项研究表明,社交媒体在2019年总统大选的政治传播中发挥着至关重要的作用。社交媒体是一种廉价而快速的传播政治模因的手段,可以广泛而大规模地接触到潜在选民。佐科·维多多经常通过政治表情包谈论与印尼共产党的联系。与此同时,普拉博沃·苏比安托经常被他的政治对手说成是印尼哈里发的支持者。这些政治模因被用作政治宣传,构建或解构政治总统候选人的话语,建立或损害总统候选人的声誉,从而影响公众舆论。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Islamic World and Politics
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