人生历程中的政治意识形态

S. Peltzman
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引用次数: 5

摘要

年轻人往往比老年人更自由。本文超越了这种概括性,更精确地描述了自我描述的政治意识形态是如何随着年龄而变化的。我区分了这种年龄-意识形态梯度的时期(不同年龄的人在某一时刻的表现)和群体(随着年龄的增长人们的变化)特征。数据来自1974年至2018年的综合社会调查,包括由数据的5年子样本组成的合成队列。意识形态以{- 1,1}来衡量:自由派(保守派)为-1(+1),温和派为0。该指标的平均值(Libcon)在每5年的子周期内以及在所有可用队列中通常随年龄增长而增加;这些梯度的形状在这些子期之间变化很大。然而,较长期的集中趋势是一个非常明确的凹梯度,在整个生命过程中上升。这个梯度的时期和群体版本本质上是重叠的。从成年早期(25岁)到老年(80岁),平均Libcon的变化很大(超过80岁)。20(- 1,1),其中大约一半发生在45岁以后。我讨论了“紫色美国”对政治意识形态的刻画以及强调意识形态“坚持”的文学流派的含义。
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Political Ideology over the Life Course
Young people tend to be more liberal than older people. This paper goes beyond that generality to describe more precisely how self-described political ideology varies with age. I distinguish period (across people of different ages at a moment in time) from cohort (changes in people as they get older) characterizations of this age-ideology gradient. Data are from General Social Surveys from 1974 through 2018, including synthetic cohorts formed from 5 year subsamples of the data. Ideology is measured on a {-1, 1} scale: liberals (conservatives) are -1 (+1) and moderates are 0. The average of this measure (Libcon) generally increases with age both within every 5-year sub-period and among all available cohorts; the shape of these gradients varies considerably across these sub-periods. However, the longer run central tendency is a very well defined concave gradient that rises over the whole life course. The period and cohort versions of this gradient essentially overlap. The change in mean Libcon from early adulthood (25) to old age (80) is substantial (over. 20 on the -1, 1 scale), and around half of this occurs after age 45. I discuss implications for “purple America” characterizations of political ideology and for the strain of literature emphasizing ideological “persistence.”
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