转型是现代社会政治变革的当前问题

Rustam Djumayev
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摘要

这篇文章提供了按时期(预期寿命、消费品、服务和人均产品的生产量)估计的世界人口的“物质生活水平”。许多在世界历史上留下印记的科学家和专家、政治家和政治家都思考过进步的概念。他们中的大多数人只是自下而上地支持“进步”的概念。一个人把进步的顶峰描述为中国的共产主义,另一个人称之为“西方民主”。这种片面的解释反映在五行说中。(原始,奴隶制,封建主义,资本主义,共产主义或西方民主)。它强调所有国家都必须经历这些阵型。二十世纪末的特点不仅是西方“期待已久”的社会主义制度的崩溃,两极世界的消失和世界权力中心的出现,不可预测的疯狂全球化及其随之而来的一切后果,而且,正如现在所明显的那样,出现了前所未有的新威胁和挑战,不仅对个别国家的主权,而且最重要的是,每个人的生存都受到威胁,人类自身的生存也受到挑战。21世纪的前25年比以往任何时候都更加突出、暴露并将所有痛苦的问题——环境、经济、地缘政治、社会文化等——带到了高潮。对这些威胁和挑战进行充分分析和预测的问题没有得到检验和方法上的验证。这项研究使人们有可能得出这样的结论:地球上的全球和国家安全问题是任何国家的主要任务之一。对当前需求的理解在防止威胁因素的出现方面起着主要作用。因此,了解这一时期是防止威胁因素出现的主要需求之一
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TRANSFORMATION OF CURRENT ISSUES OF MODERN SOCIO-POLITICAL CHANGES
The article provides estimates of the “material standard of living” of the world’s population by periods (life expectancy, the volume of production of consumer goods, services, and products per capita). Many scientists and experts, politicians and, statesmen who have left their mark on world history have thought about the concept of progress. Most of them supported the idea of “progress” only from the bottom up. One described the pinnacle of progress as Chinese communism and, another called it “Western democracy.” This one-sided explanation reflects in the theory of five entities. (primitive, slavery, feudalism, capitalism and, communism or Western democracy). It emphasizes that all nations must go through these formations. The end of the twentieth century was characterized not only by the breakdown of the socialist system so “longawaited” in the West, the disappearance of the bipolar world and the emergence of world centers of power, unpredictable insane globalization with all the ensuing consequences, but, as it is obvious now, by the emergence of new, previously unseen threats and challenges not only to the sovereignty of individual countries but, above all, by threats to the existence of both each individual and by challenges to the existence of people itself. The first quarter of the 21st century, more than ever before, stuck out, exposed and, brought to the culmination point all painful problems - environmental, economic, geopolitical, socio-cultural, etc. The problem of adequate analysis and forecasting of these threats and challenges did not test, methodologically verified. The study made it possible to conclude that the issue of global and national security on earth is one of the main tasks of any state. And the understanding of the current requirements plays a principal role in preventing the emergence of a threat factor. Thus, understanding the period is one of the dominant needs in preventing the emergence of a threat factor
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