预测精度对虚拟电厂能源管理的影响

Soheil Kaabe, M. Rahimiyan, M. A. Latify
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引用次数: 1

摘要

能源管理一直是能源系统高效运行的关键问题。近年来,随机分布式能源和储能单元在微电网中的应用使能源管理问题变得更加复杂。本文主要研究通过微电网互联的太阳能电站和储能单元集群的能源管理问题。根据要求,太阳能电站和存储单元可以作为虚拟电厂工作。为此,我们设计了一个能源管理系统,用于对虚拟发电厂从主电网购买/出售/向主电网出售的能源数量、负荷水平、太阳能发电和储能/生产做出适当的决策。能源管理系统遇到不确定的主电网价格和可用太阳能发电量,通过单点预测建模。通过实际案例分析了预测精度对能源管理系统决策的影响,以及考虑智能电网技术的影响。
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Impact of forecast accuracy on energy management of a virtual power plant
Energy management has always been a crucial issue in efficient operation of energy systems. Recently, application of stochastic distributed energy resources and energy storage units in microgrids has made the energy management problem more complex. This paper focuses on the energy management of a cluster of demands, solar power stations and storage units, which are interconnected through a microgrid. The demands, solar power stations and storage units work as a virtual power plant. To this end, we design an energy management system for making appropriate decisions on the amount of energy that the virtual power plant can buy/sell from/to the main grid, load levels, solar power production and energy storage/production. The energy management system encounters with uncertain main grid prices and available solar power productions, which are modeled through single-point forecast. We analyze through a realistic case study impact of forecast accuracy on decisions made by energy management system as well as impact of considering smart grid technology.
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