生育率与女性就业:发展中国家小组研究

Noha Emara
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引用次数: 6

摘要

研究分析了女性就业对生育率的影响。本研究以1990-2011年29个发展中国家为样本,采用Prais-Winsten回归程序、面板修正标准误差和自回归误差的面板生育率回归规范,估计了女性劳动参与率对生育率的影响。为了找出具体的国家因素,该研究使用主成分分析估算了一个家庭政策指数,该指数由三个重要的家庭政策变量组成,包括:母亲带薪休假的时间(周)、母亲带薪休假的工资替代(%)和母乳喂养的覆盖时间(年)。此外,为了提取固定效应和时间效应,研究还包括地理位置(纬度)和时间效应。实证结果证实了Engelhardt和Prskawetz(2005)的发现,即女性劳动力参与率的提高对生育率有负面影响,并且这种负面影响随着时间的推移而减弱。此外,研究结果还表明,更灵活的计划生育政策,如延长母亲带薪休假的时间,提高母亲带薪休假的工资替代比例,以及延长母乳喂养覆盖范围,有助于提高生育率。最后,与Pampel(2001)、Kogel(2004)和Engelhardt and Prskawetz(2005)的研究一致,研究发现时间趋势影响了女性劳动参与与生育率之间的这种负向关系,前者对后者的负向影响随着时间的推移而减弱。
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Fertility and Female Employment: A Panel Study on Developing Countries
The study analyzes the effect of female employment on fertility rate. Using panel fertility regression specification with Prais-Winsten regressions procedure, panel-corrected standard errors, and autoregressive errors on a sample of 29 developing countries over the period 1990-2011, the study estimates the effect of female labor participation on fertility rate. To pick up country-specific factors, using the principal component analysis, the study estimates a family policy index that consists of three important family policy variables including: Duration of paid leave for mothers (weeks), wage replacement of paid leave for mothers (%), and length of breast feeding coverage (years). Furthermore, to pick up fixed effects and time effects, the study includes geographic location (latitude) and time effects. The empirical results confirm the finding of Engelhardt and Prskawetz (2005) that the increase in female labor force participation rate has a negative impact on fertility and that this negative effect is decreasing over time. Also, the results suggest that more flexible policies toward family planning such as longer duration of paid leave for mothers, higher percentage of wage replacement of paid leave for mothers, and longer breast feeding coverage help in increasing fertility. Finally, in line with Pampel (2001), Kogel (2004) and Engelhardt and Prskawetz (2005) the study finds that time trend affects this negative relationship between female labor participation and fertility where the negative impact of the former on the latter decreases over time.
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