基于多元线性回归和Lingo多目标规划模型的最优配电方案决策模型

Xinyu Zhang, Qiushi Wang, Hongru Zhou, Zhenyao Shen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了克服配电方案制定和决策中的困难,本文提出了一种基于多元线性回归和Lingo多目标规划模型的最优配电方案决策模型。从多元线性回归和Lingo多目标规划模型的角度出发,该决策模型遵循“安全第一”原则和电网公司组织、调度、分配成本最小原则。根据负荷预测和交易规则,为电力人员设计最优配电方案。研究结果表明,不同的负荷需求导致不同的输电拥塞原则和费用结算方法。因此,本文将预测负荷需求划分为[0,982.9136]、[982.9136,1094.500]、[1094.500,+∞]三个区间,进行仿真试验。当下一时段的预测负荷需求分别为984.2MV和1052.8MV时,根据传输拥塞管理原理,利用LINGO和MATLAB软件对上述规划模型进行求解,得到调整后的机组。并发现堵塞费用分别为18232.2元和22506元。
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Decision-making Model of Optimal Power Distribution Scheme Based on Multiple Linear Regression and Lingo Multi-objective Programming Model
In order to overcome the difficulties in the formulation and decision-making of power distribution schemes, this paper proposes a novel decision-making model for optimal power distribution schemes based on multiple linear regression and Lingo multi-objective programming models. From the perspective of multiple linear regression and Lingo’s multi-objective programming models, the decision-making model follows the "safety first" principle and the principle of minimum cost in the organization, dispatch, and distribution of power grid companies. And according to the load forecast and transaction rules, the optimal power distribution scheme can be designed for the power personnel. The research results show that the difference in load demand leads to different transmission congestion principles and cost settlement methods. Therefore, this paper divides the forecast load demand into three intervals (0,982.9136], (982.9136,1094.500], (1094.500,+ ∞ ], the simulation test was carried out. When the forecasted load demand for the next period is 984.2MV and 1052.8MV, LINGO and MATLAB software are used to solve the deployment mentioned above plan model according to the transmission congestion management principle to obtain the adjusted units. And find the blocking cost is 18232.2 yuan and 22506 yuan.
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