基于不确定过程的双应力加速退化建模

Huan Wang, Dan Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

加速退化试验(ADT)在产品可靠性评估和寿命预测中发挥着重要作用。当获得的数据较少时,基于概率论的传统方法在定量数据的认知不确定性方面存在一些缺陷。因此,本文在不确定性理论和信念可靠性理论的基础上,建立了同时考虑时间、样本和双应力维度认知不确定性的不确定性加速退化模型。然后,基于最小二乘原理给出了模型的参数估计方法。最后,以密封胶圈的温湿度应力ADT为例,建立双应力加速退化模型,并对其可靠性进行评估。
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Double-Stress Accelerated Degradation Modeling Based on Uncertain Process
Accelerated degradation test (ADT) plays an important role in products reliability evaluation and lifetime prediction. When less data is obtained, the traditional method based on probability theory has some defects in the cognitive uncertainty of quantitative data. Therefore, based on the uncertainty theory and belief reliability theory, this paper establishes a new uncertainty accelerated degradation model, which takes into account the cognitive uncertainty of time, sample, and double stress dimensions at the same time. Then, the parameter estimation method of the model is given based on the least square principle. Finally, take the temperature and humidity stress ADT of the sealing rubber ring as an example, establish double-stress accelerated degradation model and evaluate its reliability.
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