修正交织概率因子解耦的非概率样本双鲁棒估计

Zhanxu Liu, Junbo Zheng, Yingli Pan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,非概率样本,如网络调查样本,在许多领域越来越受欢迎,但它们可能受到选择偏差的影响,这导致了从它们推断的困难。双鲁棒估计是一种从非概率样本中进行推断的方法。当有许多协变量可用时,变量选择在DR估计中变得很重要。本文构造了一个新的有限总体均值DR估计器,其中分别使用交织概率因子解耦(IPAD)和改进的IPAD来选择倾向得分模型和结果超总体模型中的重要变量。与传统的自适应最小绝对收缩和选择算子、平滑裁剪绝对偏差等变量选择方法不同,IPAD和改进的IPAD不仅可以选择重要变量和估计参数,还可以控制错误发现率,从而产生更准确的总体估计器。建立了基于改进IPAD的DR估计量的渐近理论和方差估计。仿真研究结果表明,该估计器性能良好。我们将提出的方法应用于皮尤研究中心数据和行为风险因素监测系统数据的分析。
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Doubly robust estimation for non‐probability samples with modified intertwined probabilistic factors decoupling
In recent years, non‐probability samples, such as web survey samples, have become increasingly popular in many fields, but they may be subject to selection biases, which results in the difficulty for inference from them. Doubly robust (DR) estimation is one of the approaches to making inferences from non‐probability samples. When many covariates are available, variable selection becomes important in DR estimation. In this paper, a new DR estimator for the finite population mean is constructed, where the intertwined probabilistic factors decoupling (IPAD) and modified IPAD are used to select important variables in the propensity score model and the outcome superpopulation model, respectively. Unlike the traditional variable selection approaches, such as adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and smoothly clipped absolute deviations, IPAD and the modified IPAD not only can select important variables and estimate parameters, but also can control the false discovery rate, which can produce more accurate population estimators. Asymptotic theories and variance estimation of the DR estimator with a modified IPAD are established. Results from simulation studies indicate that our proposed estimator performs well. We apply the proposed method to the analysis of the Pew Research Center data and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data.
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