用缺失资料预测泰国参考蒸散量

Kitsuchart Pasupa, Ek Thamwiwatthana
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引用次数: 4

摘要

近十年来,人工神经网络(ANNs)已被应用于参考蒸散量的预测。其性能可与广泛使用的“Penman-Monteith”方法相媲美。在这项研究中,我们的目标是利用人工神经网络估算泰国气候数据中的作物蒸散量,并将其性能与Penman-Monteith方法进行比较。由于数据缺失是不可避免的,我们也将数据缺失的情况纳入了研究。这可以通过期望最大化算法来解决。当缺失值的数量增加时,预测的准确性降低。此外,我们在研究中利用了特征选择。结果表明,日照时数是最重要的特征,其次是温度和宽速。
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Prediction of reference evapotranspiration with missing data in Thailand
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) has been used in prediction of reference evapotranspiration for a recent decade. Its performance is competitive to a widely used method the so-called “Penman-Monteith” method. In this study, we aim to estimate the crop evapotranspiration by ANNs from climatic data in Thailand and compare the performance with the Penman-Monteith method. As missing data is inevitable, we also included the missing data situation into the study. This can be solved by expectation-maximization algorithm. The accuracy of the prediction decreases when the amount of missing values increases. Furthermore, we exploit the feature selection in the study. It shows that sunshine duration is the most important feature followed by temperature and wide speed, respectively.
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