分析影响大豆在印尼进口的因素

Nadya Grace, Rahma Nurjanah, Candra Mustika
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是找出大豆进口对粮食作物分部门总进口的贡献有多大,以及生产、收获面积、汇率和消费对印尼大豆进口的影响。本研究中使用的数据是2000-2016年期间时间序列数据形式的二手数据,这些数据来自占比省中央统计局处理的调查。采用的分析方法是描述性定量分析,采用多元线性回归分析。结果表明,大豆进口对印尼粮食作物分部门总进口的贡献呈上升趋势,且每年波动,平均为24.87%。根据多元线性分析的结果,可以得出影响印尼大豆进口的因素是由大豆产量、收获面积、汇率和印尼大豆消费量等变量共同控制的。同时,大豆生产和消费变量对印尼大豆进口具有同时和部分的正向显著影响。相比之下,收获面积变量对印尼大豆进口的影响为负且显著,汇率对印尼大豆进口的影响为负且不显著。关键词:贡献,进口,产量,收获面积,汇率
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Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi impor kedelai di Indonesia
The purpose of the study was to find out how significant the contribution of soybean imports to the total imports of the food crop subsector and the effect of production, harvested area, exchange rate, and consumption on Indonesian soybean imports. The data used in this study is secondary data in the form of time series data for the period 2000-2016 derived from surveys that have been processed by the Central Statistics Agency of Jambi Province. The analytical method used is a descriptive and quantitative analysis using multiple linear regression analysis. The results showed that the contribution of soybean imports to the total imports of the food crop sub-sector in Indonesia experienced an increase, which fluctuated every year with an average of 24.87 percent. Based on the results of multiple linear analyses, it can be concluded that the factors that influence soybean imports in Indonesia are jointly controlled by the variables of soybean production, harvested area, exchange rate, and Indonesian soybean consumption. Meanwhile, simultaneously and partially, the soybean production and consumption variables have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian soybean imports. In contrast, the harvested area variable had a negative and significant impact, and the exchange rate had a negative and insignificant impact on Indonesian soybean imports.  Keywords: Contribution, Import, Production, Harvest area, Exchange rate,
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