东盟银行融资替代方案的出现

Michelle Dy
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摘要

目前,银行仍是金融丛林之王,这是不可否认的事实。然而,早在1997年,东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)就从惨痛的教训中认识到,严重依赖银行业可能导致金融危机不可逆转地螺旋式上升。只有在货币贬值加速、流动性枯竭时,流入该地区的大量流动性导致银行资产负债表上的货币与期限错配才会成为一个问题。1997年亚洲金融危机尘埃落定后,该地区开始认真发展其资本市场,作为抵御银行业资本流动周期性的安全网。差不多二十年过去了,这里的景色依然如故。2009年,商业银行资产仍占东盟金融资产总额的大部分,为82%。然而,最近的事态发展可能最终会彻底改变该地区的金融生态系统。到2022年,每年估计有600亿美元被确定为满足东盟所有基础设施需求的必要金额。为应对2008年全球金融危机而采取的更严格的银行监管措施创造了更严格的贷款环境,使得仅通过传统的银行贷款渠道难以满足这一基础设施融资需求。还有一个问题是,银行对长期项目缺乏兴趣,这是基础设施项目的共同特点。这些事件交织在一起,促成了作为东盟银行融资替代方案的产品和倡议的出现。本文的目的是绘制出已开发和推出的替代产品,以响应东盟的融资需求,密切关注其结构,投资者和发行人的概况,以及利用这些产品的项目。然后评估这些替代方案的进展情况,以及它们在东盟基础设施投资领域的前景。
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The Emergence of Alternatives to Bank Financing in ASEAN
It is an undeniable fact that presently, banks are still the kings of the financial jungle. However, as early as 1997, the Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN) has learned the hard way that heavy dependence on banking can contribute to an irreversible spiral towards a financial crisis. The currency and maturity mismatches in the banks’ balance sheets caused by the flush of liquidity into the region only became a problem once currency depreciation accelerated and the taps of liquidity dried up. After the dust of the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis settled, the region began the earnest development of its capital markets as a safety net against the cyclicality of capital flows in the banking industry. Almost twenty years hence, the landscape remains the same. Commercial banking assets still accounted for a majority of the total financial assets in ASEAN in 2009 at 82%. Recent developments may possibly finally turn the region’s financial ecosystem on its head, however. An estimated $60 billion USD annually until 2022 was identified as the necessary amount in order to meet all the infrastructure needs in ASEAN. The adoption of tighter banking regulations in response to the 2008 global financial crisis has created a stricter lending environment, making it stubbornly difficult to meet this infrastructure financing requirement through the traditional bank lending channels alone. There is also the problem of lack of appetite by banks for projects with long-term time horizons, a common characteristic of infrastructure projects. The conflux of these events contributed to the emergence of products and initiatives which serve as alternatives to bank financing in ASEAN. The purpose of this paper is to map out the alternative products that have been developed and launched in response to ASEAN’s financing needs, looking closely at their structure, the profile of the investors and the issuers, and the projects which utilize these products. An assessment shall then be made on the progress of these alternatives and what their prospects are in ASEAN’s infrastructure investment space.
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