电力消耗预测数据挖掘的预测建模方法

N. Kaur, A. Kaur
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引用次数: 16

摘要

提出了一种基于气象条件的数据挖掘技术预测地理区域电力需求的方法。利用人工神经网络实现了数值预测预测数据挖掘技术。用电量所依赖的温度、湿度、公众假期等因素的数值与每日用电量的数值构成数据。对这些历史数据进行数据挖掘,形成一个预测模型,在提供气象参数的情况下,可以预测出每天的用电量。实现了数据处理的知识发现步骤。数据经过预处理后输入神经网络进行训练。利用训练好的神经网络对给定气象条件下的电力需求进行预测。
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Predictive modelling approach to data mining for forecasting electricity consumption
This paper presents an approach of data mining technique to predict electricity demand of a geographical region based on the meteorological conditions. The value prediction predictive data mining technique is implemented with the Artificial Neural Networks. The values of the factors such as temperature, humidity and public holiday on which electricity consumption depends and the daily consumption values constitute the data. Data mining operations are performed on this historical data to form a prediction model which is capable of predicting daily consumption provided the meteorological parameters. The steps of knowledge discovery of data process are implemented. The data is preprocessed and fed to neural network for training it. The trained neural network is used to predict the electricity demand for the given meteorological conditions.
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