肾功能测试作为COVID-19死亡率预测因子的分析

S. Rahma, Yuyun Widaningsih, L. B. Kurniawan, Fitriani Mangarengi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

细胞因子释放综合征和急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)增加了COVID-19患者急性肾损伤(AKI)的发生率,并与预后不良和死亡风险相关。本研究的目的是分析尿素、肌酐和eGFR值作为COVID-19患者死亡率的预测因子。利用2020年8月至2021年8月在哈萨努丁大学国立高等教育医院接受治疗的311例COVID-19患者病历的二次数据,开展了一项回顾性队列研究。数据分析采用Mann-Whitney检验、卡方检验和Logistic回归。尿素水平为bb0 ~ 53 mg/dL的COVID-19患者死亡风险是尿素水平为‰~ 53 mg/dL的5.128倍(OR=5.128;CI =2.530 ~ 10.391, p = 1.3 mg/dL是肌酐水平≥1.3 mg/dL的2.696倍(OR= 2.696;CI = 1.330 ~ 5.463, p<0.001)。eGFR < 90 mL/min/1.73 m2的COVID-19患者死亡风险是eGFR≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2的3.692倍(OR=3.692;CI = 2.134 ~ 6.389, p<0.001)。多元logistic回归分析显示,尿素和eGFR比肌酐更能预测死亡率(OR= 0.374, p=0.002, OR 0.344, p=0.007, OR 1.192, p=0.694)。血清尿素和肌酐水平高、eGFR值低的COVID-19患者组与结果正常的患者组相比,死亡风险更大。尿素水平和eGFR值比血清肌酐更能预测死亡率。
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Analysis of Kidney Function Tests as Predictor of Mortality in COVID-19
Cytokine release syndrome and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) increase the incidence of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) in COVID-19 patients, which is associated with a poor prognosis and risk of death. The purpose of this study was to analyze urea, creatinine, and eGFR values as predictors of mortality in COVID-19 patients. A retrospective cohort study was carried out using secondary data from medical records of 311 COVID-19 patients who were treated at the Hasanuddin University State Higher Education Hospital from August 2020 to August 2021. Data were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney test, Chi-Square, and Logistic Regression. The risk of mortality for COVID-19 patients with urea levels > 53 mg/dL was 5.128 times higher than that of urea levels ‰  53 mg/dL (OR=5.128; CI =2.530 – 10.391, p<0.001). The risk of mortality for COVID-19 patients with creatinine levels  > 1.3  mg/dL was 2.696 times higher than that of creatinine levels  ‰  1.3  mg/dL (OR= 2.696; CI = 1.330 – 5.463, p<0.001). The risk of mortality in COVID-19 patients with an eGFR <  90  mL/min/1.73 m2  was  3.692 times higher than that of an eGFR ‰ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR=3.692; CI = 2.134 – 6.389, p<0.001). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that urea and eGFR were better predictors of mortality than creatinine (OR= 0.374, p=0.002 vs. OR 0.344, p=0.007 vs. OR 1.192, p=0.694). The COVID-19 patient group with high serum urea and creatinine levels and low eGFR values had a greater risk of mortality compared to the group of patients who had normal results. Urea levels and eGFR values were better predictors of mortality than serum creatinine.
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