Research on Risk Sharing of Creative Industrial Park by Recycling Old Industrial Buildings

Compared with ordinary buildings, Old industrial buildings have short construction period; Lack of policies, regulations and technical standards. In order to ensure the successful implementation of the old industrial building recycling project, all participants must share the project risks reasonably. This paper takes the project of old industrial building recycling as the research object. Firstly, the Delphi method is adopted to identify the project risk. Based on the incomplete contract theory, the risk is clearly divided into the contracting stage and the risk of the performance stage. Secondly, based on participant satisfaction, build index system of risk sharing, using C-OWA operator for risk sharing weighting, avoid the ill effects of the expert subjective preferences, under TOPSIS and UT theory, form a sharing mode that is complete, reasonably define the responsibility attribution of risks and determine the optimal sharing proportion of Shared risks. Finally, the model is applied to a creative industrial park project transformed from a steel mill in Shanxi province to prove the rationality of the model, and provide reference for the formulation of risk sharing scheme of China's old industrial building recycling project. Keywords—old industrial building; recycling; creative industry park;risk sharing 摘要—旧工业建筑再生利用后与普通建筑物相比,具有建设周 期短,缺乏政策法规及技术标准等特点。为保证旧工业建筑再 生利用项目成功实施,各参与方必须合理分担项目风险。本文 以旧工业建筑再生利用为创意产业园的项目为研究对象,首先 采用 Delphi 法识别项目风险,依据不完全契约理论,将风险 明确划分为缔约阶段风险与履约阶段风险;其次构建基于参与 方满意度的风险分担指标体系,利用 C-OWA 算子对风险分担指 标赋权,避免专家主观偏好带来的不良影响,在此前提下将理 想解法(TOPSIS)与效用理论(UT)相结合,形成一套具有两者优 势及完整的风险分担模型,合理界定风险的责任归属和确定共 担风险的最优分担比例;最后将模型应用到由陕西某钢厂改造 而成的创意产业园项目,证明该模型的合理性,为我国旧工业 建筑再生利用项目风险分担方案制定提供参考。 关键词-旧工业建筑, 再生利用, 创意产业园, 风险分担