气候变化与庆南地区进出口的相互关系研究

Byungjin Yim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究是对气候变化与庆南地区进出口规模关系的实证研究。设计/方法/方法-在本研究中,我们使用了来自气候变化指数的26个月数据,以及2020年8月31日至2022年9月30日期间韩国庆南的进出口数量。我们试图分析气候变化指数与韩国庆南出口量和进口量之间的相互影响和因果关系。我们希望分析交叉影响的程度。我们采用了基于VAR模型的方差分解函数,以及对气候变化指数、庆南出口量和进口量进行协整检验和单位根检验后的脉冲响应。结果:气候变化指数的第一个差异数据、出口量和庆南的进口量之间至少存在一个协整。最后,庆南出口量对气候变化具有格兰杰效应。研究意义-这项研究的不同之处在于它使用了气候变化指数和气候变化。其局限性在于研究样本有限,研究周期较短。
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A Study on the Inter-Relationship between Climate Change, Export Volume, Import Volume of Gyeongnam Regional
Purpose – This study is an empirical study on the relationship between climate change and the export and import volumes of the Gyeongnam Region. Design/Methodology/Approach – In this study, we used 26 monthly data from the climate change index, and the export and import volumes of Gyeongnam in Korea from August 31, 2020 to September 30, 2022. We attempt to analyze the mutual influence and causality in the climate change index, the export volume, and the import volume of Gyeongnam in Korea. We wish to analyze the extent of cross-influence. We employ a variance decomposition function based on the VAR model, as well as an impulse response after a cointegration test and unit root test of the climate change index, the export volume, and the import volume of Gyeongnam. Findings – There is at least one cointegration among the first differential data of the climate change index, the export volume, and the import volume of Gyeongnam. Finally, the export volume of Gyeongnam does Granger Cause climate change. Research Implications – This study differs in that it uses the climate change index and climate change. It has limitations in that the study sample is limited and the study period is short.
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