在经济史中使用分位数方法

D. Clarke, Manuel Llorca Jaña, Daniel Pailañir
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引用次数: 0

摘要

分位数回归和分位数处理效应方法是考虑超出平均值的事件或感兴趣的变量的经济影响的强大计量经济学工具。使用分位数方法可以检查一些自变量对连续因变量的整个分布的影响。在经济史上的许多定量设置中,测量作为一个关键的输入,连续的结果变量感兴趣。在许多其他案例中,人类身高和人口统计、经济增长、收入和工资以及作物生产通常被记录为连续的测量,并由经济史学家收集和研究。在本文中,我们描述和讨论了分位数回归在经济史研究中的广泛应用,回顾了该领域最近的定量文献,指出了其使用中的潜在限制,并提供了一个基于19世纪和20世纪50多年来测量的20,000条人类身高记录的示例。我们认为,尽管在某些情况下存在局限性,但在经济史文献中仍有相当大的空间来令人信服地有效地应用分位数回归方法。
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The use of quantile methods in economic history
Abstract Quantile regression and quantile treatment effect methods are powerful econometric tools for considering economic impacts of events or variables of interest beyond the mean. The use of quantile methods allows for an examination of impacts of some independent variable over the entire distribution of continuous dependent variables. Measurement in many quantitative settings in economic history have as a key input continuous outcome variables of interest. Among many other cases, human height and demographics, economic growth, earnings and wages, and crop production are generally recorded as continuous measures, and are collected and studied by economic historians. In this paper we describe and discuss the broad utility of quantile regression for use in research in economic history, review recent quantitative literature in the field, point to potential limits in its use, and provide an illustrative example of the use of these methods based on 20,000 records of human height measured across 50-plus years in the 19th and 20th centuries. We suggest that, despite limitations in certain settings, there is still considerably more room in the literature on economic history to convincingly and productively apply quantile regression methods.
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