国内压力与国际气候合作

A. Tavoni, Ralph Winkler
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在25次联合国气候变化缔约方会议(而且还在继续)召开之后,国际合作减少温室气体排放,以避免严重的、可能不可逆转的气候变化,仍然是一项重要挑战。《京都议定书》在遏制排放方面的影响有限,其后继议定书的雄心与《巴黎协定》缺乏解决违规行为的制裁机制之间存在差距,这既表明了雄心勃勃的环境协议谈判的困难,也表明了各国在加入该条约后不愿遵守其商定的排放目标。因此,更好地理解国内和国际政策之间的相互作用对设计成功的国际气候合作所构成的障碍和机遇至关重要。为了阐明僵局的根源(并提出可能的出路),本文回顾并借鉴了越来越多的理论、实验和实证文献,这些文献解释了国内政治压力和国际气候政策之间的等级相互作用。《资源经济学年鉴》第13卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2021年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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Domestic Pressure and International Climate Cooperation
In the wake of 25 United Nations Climate Change Conferences of the Parties (and counting), international cooperation on mitigating greenhouse gas emissions to avoid substantial and potentially irreversible climate change remains an important challenge. The limited impact of the Kyoto Protocol on curbing emissions, and the gap between the ambitions of its successor and the Paris Agreement's lack of sanctioning mechanisms for addressing noncompliance, demonstrates both the difficulties in negotiating ambitious environmental agreements and the reluctance of countries to comply with their agreed emission targets once they have joined the treaty. Therefore, a better understanding of the obstacles and opportunities that the interactions between domestic and international policy pose for the design of successful international climate cooperation is of utmost importance. To shed light on the roots of the stalemate (and suggest possible ways out), this article reviews and draws lessons from a growing theoretical, experimental, and empirical literature that accounts for the hierarchical interplay between domestic political pressure and international climate policy. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 13 is October 2021. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
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