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Attaining Net-Zero through a GHG-Economic Sector 通过温室气体经济部门实现净零排放
Pub Date : 2021-09-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3888819
Charles Polk
Greenhouse gas (GHG) emitters haven’t faced the costs of using the atmosphere. Limiting climate change requires internalizing that economic externality. Trading GHG emissions is a possible solution, yet the trading implemented to date is based on the issuance of permits, which are licenses to emit, meaning net-positive emissions. To attain net-zero, positive emissions must be traded against negative emissions. Modeling an economy in which GHG credits are earned for removing emissions reveals a GHG-Sector through which economic activity limits climate change. Analysis of the model indicates that if direct air capture of CO2 is part of attaining net-zero, then market prices will direct all pre-emission captured CO2 (e.g., flu gas) to sequestration. The policy implications of a GHG-Sector for sustainable transitions in aviation, food production, and elsewhere are discussed.
温室气体(GHG)排放者还没有面对利用大气的成本。限制气候变化需要将这种经济外部性内部化。温室气体排放交易是一个可能的解决方案,但迄今为止实施的交易是基于发放许可证,即排放许可证,即净正排放。为了实现净零排放,必须用正排放与负排放进行交易。对一个通过消除排放而获得温室气体信用额的经济体进行建模,揭示了一个温室气体部门,通过该部门,经济活动限制了气候变化。对该模型的分析表明,如果直接在空气中捕获二氧化碳是实现净零排放的一部分,那么市场价格将引导所有排放前捕获的二氧化碳(例如流感气体)进行封存。讨论了温室气体部门对航空、粮食生产和其他领域可持续转型的政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Green Transition in Oil Dependent Economies in the MENA Region 'Turning off the Pumps, Breaking the Oil Addiction, and Greening the Desert' Case Study: A Non-Oil Future for Saudi Arabia and Algeria? 中东和北非地区石油依赖型经济体的绿色转型——关掉水泵,打破石油依赖,绿化沙漠——案例研究:沙特阿拉伯和阿尔及利亚的非石油未来?
Pub Date : 2021-04-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3877500
A. Gaillard
The Curious Case of the Green Transition: Managing a Historic Shift in Oil Exporting Countries While the Middle East and North African (MENA) region is home to only 6% of the world’s population, it controls 60% of the world’s known oil resources and almost half of the world’s natural gas reserves (Hilmi et al. 30). An additional source strengthens this statement exhibiting that total production of oil in MENA countries accounts for 34,418 thousands barrels per day while that of natural gas amounts to 798.3 billion cubic metres per year (Exhibit 3). Due to scientific consensus on anthropogenic climate change, oil is considered a controversial energy source and therefore deserves special attention. Trends towards non-carbon based and sustainable energy sources are gaining momentum worldwide. Meanwhile, trends towards clean energies are gaining momentum worldwide. Given its large number of oil-dependent countries, this will have profound ramifications for the MENA region. Although the classification of strong and weak green performers has been a contentious process, these data are nonetheless the most reliable sources available to date. Under this classification, Saudi Arabia ranks fourth and is considered a modest performer. Algeria, ranked fifth, is considered a slightly weaker performer (Tagliapietra, 2017, 20). Saudi Arabia is presumed to be in the top group of oil exporters, meaning that oil revenues account for 40% of GDP. Algeria ranks in the second tier, which consists of countries whose oil revenues range from 20 to 40% of their GDP (Tagliapietra, 2017 16). If taken as a common denominator, ‘green energy’ is analytically useful in comparing Saudi Arabia and Algeria as they embark on the path to non-carbon energy solutions. There are several foundational, yet still unanswered, questions about energy sector transformations in petroleum exporting countries. First, why would MENA countries transition to green energy before they exhaust their petroleum reserves? Second, when will commercially viable oil reserves be depleted? Lastly, what are the tradeoffs between economic development and a Green Transition? As Eckart Woertz, the Director of the GIGA Institute for Middle East Studies in Hamburg, argues, the use of clean energy is still limited in the region, particularly compared to Europe (Cochrane). If this is the case, then what incentive structures are likely to influence decision making in this domain? While a complete analysis of these questions is beyond the scope of this paper, establishing a basic understanding of both supply-and demand-side incentive structures serve as a foundation for rational economic and policy decisions. Certainly, reforms and programs are undertaken in MENA countries to switch to clean energy. Both Saudi Arabia and Algeria have proposed programs and reforms that incorporate sustainable objectives. Examples include Algeria’s National Strategy for the Fight Against Poverty (2005–2015) and Five-Year Plan (2010–2014)
绿色转型的奇特案例:管理石油出口国的历史性转变虽然中东和北非(MENA)地区的人口仅占世界人口的6%,但它控制着世界上60%的已知石油资源和几乎一半的世界天然气储量(Hilmi et al. 30)。另一个来源证实了这一说法,中东和北非地区国家的石油总产量为34,41.8万桶/天,而天然气的产量为7983亿立方米/年(表3)。由于科学对人为气候变化的共识,石油被认为是一种有争议的能源,因此值得特别关注。全球范围内,非碳基和可持续能源的发展势头正在增强。与此同时,清洁能源的发展趋势在世界范围内正在加速。鉴于中东和北非地区有大量依赖石油的国家,这将对该地区产生深远影响。尽管对绿色绩效强弱的分类一直是一个有争议的过程,但这些数据仍然是迄今为止最可靠的来源。在这一分类中,沙特阿拉伯排名第四,被认为表现一般。阿尔及利亚排名第五,被认为表现稍弱(Tagliapietra, 2017,20)。沙特阿拉伯被认为是最大的石油出口国之一,这意味着石油收入占国内生产总值的40%。阿尔及利亚排在第二梯队,由石油收入占其GDP的20%至40%的国家组成(Tagliapietra, 2017年16)。如果把“绿色能源”作为一个共同点,在比较沙特阿拉伯和阿尔及利亚走上非碳能源解决方案的道路时,“绿色能源”在分析上是有用的。关于石油出口国的能源部门转型,有几个基本的、但仍未得到解答的问题。首先,为什么中东和北非国家要在耗尽石油储备之前转向绿色能源?其次,商业上可行的石油储量何时会枯竭?最后,经济发展和绿色转型之间的权衡是什么?正如位于汉堡的GIGA中东研究所所长埃卡特•沃尔茨所言,该地区对清洁能源的利用仍然有限,尤其是与欧洲相比(科克伦)。如果是这样,那么什么样的激励结构可能会影响这个领域的决策?虽然对这些问题的全面分析超出了本文的范围,但建立对供给侧和需求侧激励结构的基本理解是理性经济和政策决策的基础。当然,中东和北非国家正在进行改革和项目,以转向清洁能源。沙特阿拉伯和阿尔及利亚都提出了包含可持续目标的方案和改革。例如,阿尔及利亚的国家反贫困战略(2005-2015年)和五年计划(2010-2014年)以及沙特阿拉伯的2030年愿景(Tagliapietra el a. 4)。因此,鉴于这些经济体中的主要行业预计将通过绿色转型从根本上发生转变,使用横向方法来分析这些复杂的变化是有用的。本文探讨了中东和北非国家可持续发展的概念和影响,因为石油依赖型经济体面临的挑战最为严峻。具体来说,如果中东和北非国家成功地过渡到主要(如果不是完全)以非碳为基础的可持续能源,未来会是什么样子?中东和北非地区的绿色转型旨在改革石油开采、提炼和出口过程。
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引用次数: 0
Captured: Regulating to 1.5C through Tax, Section 45Q and Escaping from Regressive Pitfalls 捕获:通过税收,第45Q条和避免累退陷阱来调节到1.5摄氏度
Pub Date : 2021-04-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3825873
R. Gurule
In rejoining the Paris Agreement, the United States should be working to limit global temperature increases as a result of climate change caused by atmospheric greenhouse gas emissions to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temperatures. We are not currently on track to achieve this goal, requiring further consideration of the ways we regulate greenhouse gas emitting activities. Among other regulatory tools, the United States regulates greenhouse gas emitting activities through tax. The utility of regulating through tax in the context of climate change is two-fold. First, as others have noted, tax is particularly well-suited to make GHG emitting activities comparatively more expensive in a way that can force taxpayers to bear externalized social costs of GHG emitting activities resulting in climate change. Second, tax is able to address climate change as a problem that will disproportionately impact low-income and marginalized groups. The tax code does not currently adequately fulfill either of these regulatory purposes. In part, this may be because of the view shared by many that there is a conflict between regulating to limit GHG emissions through a carbon tax and regulating to advance progressive policy. This article uses the non-refundable credit for carbon capture, utilization and sequestration in section 45Q of the Internal Revenue Code and an implicit regressive carbon tax on the public created by failing to curb climate change to advocate for an end to arguments pitting a carbon tax or improved Pigouvian subsidies (such as a revised section 45Q as discussed herein) against progressive goals. It’s time to move past a perpetuation of current policy—which is a poor tool for curbing GHG emissions and which is entrenching regressive results of climate change--and to try implementing policy that is intentionally designed to both actualize green goals and progressive results.
在重新加入《巴黎协定》的过程中,美国应该努力将大气温室气体排放导致的气候变化导致的全球气温上升限制在比工业化前温度高1.5摄氏度的范围内。我们目前还没有走上实现这一目标的轨道,需要进一步考虑我们监管温室气体排放活动的方式。在其他监管工具中,美国通过税收来监管温室气体排放活动。在气候变化的背景下,通过税收进行监管的效用是双重的。首先,正如其他人所指出的那样,税收特别适合使温室气体排放活动相对更加昂贵,从而迫使纳税人承担导致气候变化的温室气体排放活动的外部社会成本。其次,税收能够将气候变化作为一个不成比例地影响低收入和边缘群体的问题来解决。目前的税法并没有充分实现这两个监管目的。在某种程度上,这可能是因为许多人都认为,通过征收碳税来限制温室气体排放与通过监管来推进进步政策之间存在冲突。本文利用《国内税收法》第45Q条中关于碳捕获、利用和封存的不可退还信用额度,以及由于未能遏制气候变化而对公众征收的隐性累退碳税,来倡导结束有关碳税或改进的庇古补贴(如本文讨论的修订后的第45Q条)与进步目标之间的争论。现在是时候摆脱现行政策的延续了——这是遏制温室气体排放的一个糟糕工具,它正在巩固气候变化的倒退结果——并尝试实施旨在实现绿色目标和进步结果的政策。
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引用次数: 0
The Comparison of Regression Models and Artificial Neural Networks in Predicting Power Generation in a Thermal Coal Power Plant 回归模型与人工神经网络在火力发电厂发电量预测中的比较
Pub Date : 2020-11-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3736905
S. Tangwe, K. Kusakana
A significant Eskom’s grid electricity is generated from the thermal coal-fired plants. The study focused on modelling the generated electricity during the “before and after” outage of a typical unit, in one of the Eskom Benson’s thermal coal power plants rated at 600 MW and mechanical conversion efficiency of 35%. The dataset for the chosen input parameters are collected from the metering cards and the generated electrical power are obtained from the installed power meters to the designated unit in the power plant. Multiple linear regression models (MLR) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) for both the “before and after outage” power generated are developed, tested and validated with the input parameters as the average air heater temperature, average main stream super-heater temperature, average high pressure heater’s temperature, the total mass of coal burnt, average of the condenser well pressure and temperature and the auxiliary power consumed. The MLR models and the ANNs for both the “before and after” outage power generated gave excellent correlation coefficients of over 0.950. Furthermore, it can be concluded that the ANNs gave better predictions over the counterparts MLRs model based on the correlation coefficients and the mean square errors derived from the models.
Eskom电网的大部分电力来自火力发电厂。该研究的重点是对Eskom Benson旗下一家额定功率为600兆瓦、机械转换效率为35%的火力煤电厂的典型机组在停电前后的发电量进行建模。所选输入参数的数据集从计量卡上采集,产生的电能从安装的电能表上获取到电厂的指定单元。以空气加热器平均温度、主流过热器平均温度、高压加热器平均温度、燃煤总质量、凝汽器井平均压力和温度、辅助耗电量为输入参数,建立了“停运前后”发电量的多元线性回归模型(MLR)和人工神经网络(ANN),并进行了测试和验证。MLR模型和人工神经网络对“停电前”和“停电后”的相关系数均在0.950以上。此外,可以得出结论,基于相关系数和模型的均方误差,人工神经网络比相应的MLRs模型给出了更好的预测。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Artificial Lift Methods to Increase Oil Production from Depleting Oil Wells in Gulf of Mexico 墨西哥湾枯竭油井人工举升增产方法评价
Pub Date : 2020-10-31 DOI: 10.31033/ijemr.10.5.22
Saurabh Goswami, T. Chouhan
This paper summarizes the research work with reference to artificial lift methods to increase oil production form mature oil wells in Gulf of Mexico.

Increase oil production or oil recovery from oil reservoirs is very important. If the average worldwide recovery factor from hydrocarbon reservoirs can be increased beyond current limits, it will alleviate a number of issues related to global energy supply. Currently the daily oil production comes from mature or maturing oil fields and reserves replacement is not keeping pace with the growing energy demand.

This paper presents big picture overview of artificial lift methods for mature oil wells in Gulf of Mexico.
本文对墨西哥湾成熟油井人工举升增产的研究工作进行了总结。提高油藏的产油量或采收率是非常重要的。如果世界范围内的平均采收率能够超过目前的限制,将会缓解一些与全球能源供应有关的问题。目前,石油日产量主要来自于成熟或即将成熟的油田,储量的补充跟不上日益增长的能源需求。本文介绍了墨西哥湾成熟油井人工举升方法的总体概况。
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引用次数: 0
Research of the Influence of the Grid Density of Injection Wells on the Gas Extraction Coefficient When Injecting Carbon Dioxide into Reservoir 注水井格网密度对储层注二氧化碳抽采系数的影响研究
Pub Date : 2020-10-30 DOI: 10.15587/2706-5448.2020.215074
O. Kondrat, S. Matkivskyi
The object of research is gas and gas condensate reservoirs developed under the conditions of the manifestation of the water pressure mode of development and the negative effect of formation water on the process of natural gas production. In order to improve the existing technologies for the development of natural gas fields in the conditions of the manifestation of a water-driven mode of development of productive reservoirs, a study was carried out using the main tools of hydrodynamic modeling Eclipse and Petrel from Schlumberger (USA). On the basis of a three-dimensional digital model of gas condensate, the influence of the density of injection wells on the coefficient of natural gas extraction during the injection of carbon dioxide into productive reservoirs on the verge of a gas-water contact was investigated. The study was carried out for a different number of injection wells (4, 6, 8, 12, 16 wells), which are evenly spaced along the perimeter of the initial gas-water contact. According to the results of the calculations, it was found that the production of formation water decreases with an increase in the density of the well grid. In the case of using 4 wells to inject carbon dioxide into a productive reservoir, the accumulated production of formation water at the end of development amounted to 169.71 thousand m3. With an increase in the number of injection wells to 16 units, the accumulated production of produced water decreased to 0.066 m3. This result is achieved due to a more complete coverage of the perimeter of gas content with carbon dioxide and the creation of an artificial barrier between water and natural gas, which leads to a more effective blocking of the movement of produced water into productive reservoirs. According to the results of statistical processing of the calculated data, the optimal value of the number of injection wells was determined when injecting carbon dioxide into the reservoir. The optimal value of the number of injection wells at the time of the breakthrough of carbon dioxide into the first production well is 7.86 (8) wells. The maximum value of the number of injection wells according to the results of statistical processing is 6.8 (7) wells. The final gas recovery ratio for the given optimal injection value is 61.88 %. On the basis of the calculations, the technological efficiency of using as an agent for injecting carbon dioxide at the boundary of the gas-water contact was established in order to prevent selective watering of productive reservoirs and production wells.
研究对象是在水压开发模式表现和地层水对天然气生产过程负作用的条件下开发的天然气和凝析气藏。为了改进现有的气藏水驱开发技术,利用美国斯伦贝谢公司(Schlumberger)的Eclipse和Petrel水动力建模主要工具进行了研究。在建立凝析气三维数字模型的基础上,研究了注水井密度对气水界面边缘生产储层注二氧化碳过程中天然气采出系数的影响。该研究对不同数量的注水井(4,6,8,12,16口井)进行了研究,这些井沿初始气水界面周长均匀分布。计算结果表明,随着井网密度的增加,地层水产量减小。以4口井向生产油藏注入二氧化碳为例,开发末期地层水累计产量为16971万m3。随着注水井数量增加到16口,采出水的累计产量下降到0.066 m3。这一结果的实现是由于二氧化碳更完整地覆盖了气体含量的周界,并且在水和天然气之间形成了人工屏障,从而更有效地阻止了采出水进入生产性储层。根据计算数据的统计处理结果,确定了向储层注入二氧化碳时的最佳注水井数。第一口生产井二氧化碳突破时的最佳注水井数为7.86(8)口。根据统计处理结果,注水井数量的最大值为6.8(7)口。在给定的最佳注入值下,最终气采率为61.88%。在此基础上,建立了在气水界面边界处注入二氧化碳的工艺效率,以防止生产油藏和生产井的选择性注水。
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引用次数: 8
Domestic Pressure and International Climate Cooperation 国内压力与国际气候合作
Pub Date : 2020-10-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3721899
A. Tavoni, Ralph Winkler
In the wake of 25 United Nations Climate Change Conferences of the Parties (and counting), international cooperation on mitigating greenhouse gas emissions to avoid substantial and potentially irreversible climate change remains an important challenge. The limited impact of the Kyoto Protocol on curbing emissions, and the gap between the ambitions of its successor and the Paris Agreement's lack of sanctioning mechanisms for addressing noncompliance, demonstrates both the difficulties in negotiating ambitious environmental agreements and the reluctance of countries to comply with their agreed emission targets once they have joined the treaty. Therefore, a better understanding of the obstacles and opportunities that the interactions between domestic and international policy pose for the design of successful international climate cooperation is of utmost importance. To shed light on the roots of the stalemate (and suggest possible ways out), this article reviews and draws lessons from a growing theoretical, experimental, and empirical literature that accounts for the hierarchical interplay between domestic political pressure and international climate policy. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 13 is October 2021. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
在25次联合国气候变化缔约方会议(而且还在继续)召开之后,国际合作减少温室气体排放,以避免严重的、可能不可逆转的气候变化,仍然是一项重要挑战。《京都议定书》在遏制排放方面的影响有限,其后继议定书的雄心与《巴黎协定》缺乏解决违规行为的制裁机制之间存在差距,这既表明了雄心勃勃的环境协议谈判的困难,也表明了各国在加入该条约后不愿遵守其商定的排放目标。因此,更好地理解国内和国际政策之间的相互作用对设计成功的国际气候合作所构成的障碍和机遇至关重要。为了阐明僵局的根源(并提出可能的出路),本文回顾并借鉴了越来越多的理论、实验和实证文献,这些文献解释了国内政治压力和国际气候政策之间的等级相互作用。《资源经济学年鉴》第13卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2021年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 4
Towards Ontology and Blockchain Based Measurement, Reporting, and Verification For Climate Action 面向气候行动的基于本体和区块链的测量、报告和验证
Pub Date : 2020-10-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3717389
Henry M. Kim, T. Baumann, M. Laskowski
Efforts like carbon credits that incentivize GHG emissions reduction are hampered by an inability to account for quantity and impact of emissions in transparent and uniform ways. Authoritative entities like the UN have espoused blockchain’s potential to address transparency and novel Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) systems for climate action constitute the state-of-the-art in research and industry to use blockchain to address the transparency need. However, impact of such efforts are diluted if there is not sufficient uniformity: Different blockchains idiosyncratically quantifying carbon credits and reporting them based on standards not widely adopted may offer only some improvement over the status quo. In this paper, we specify a top-level architecture that uses Semantic Web ontologies to complement a blockchain-based MRV system to address the need for uniformity and sharability. We pose this within the context of the real-life Reciclo Orgánicos project, an international collaboration to reduce GHG emissions from Chile’s municipal waste sector. Our design conceptualizes transforming “smart standards” that are efficiently designed and harmonized using IT into ontologies of quantification methodologies and verification standards, which in turn can be used develop smart contracts executable on, and interoperable between, different blockchain platforms. Though preliminary, our design makes a potentially important contribution towards a Digital MRV system that effects impactful climate action.
由于无法以透明和统一的方式计算排放的数量和影响,像碳信用这样激励温室气体减排的努力受到了阻碍。联合国等权威机构支持区块链解决透明度问题的潜力,而用于气候行动的新型测量、报告和验证(MRV)系统构成了研究和行业使用区块链解决透明度需求的最新技术。然而,如果没有足够的统一性,这些努力的影响就会被稀释:不同的区块链特有地量化碳信用额度,并根据未被广泛采用的标准进行报告,可能只会对现状有所改善。在本文中,我们指定了一个顶层架构,该架构使用语义Web本体来补充基于区块链的MRV系统,以满足对一致性和可共享性的需求。我们在现实生活中的Reciclo Orgánicos项目背景下提出这个问题,这是一个国际合作项目,旨在减少智利城市垃圾部门的温室气体排放。我们的设计概念是将使用IT有效设计和协调的“智能标准”转化为量化方法和验证标准的本体,反过来可以用来开发在不同区块链平台上可执行和可互操作的智能合约。虽然是初步的,但我们的设计对影响有影响力的气候行动的数字MRV系统做出了潜在的重要贡献。
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引用次数: 2
How Marginal is Lignite? Two Simple Approaches to Determine Price-Setting Technologies in Power Markets 褐煤有多边缘化?确定电力市场定价技术的两种简单方法
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3444825
Robert Germeshausen, N. Wölfing
Abstract How much carbon is in the price of power? The answer to this question determines many economic consequences of climate policies, i.e. in terms of costs for downstream industries. It requires, however, to first identify the cost impact of carbon pricing on the price-setting entity on the power market. Economic theory tells us that power prices are determined by the cost of the marginal plant. We propose two simple approaches to conclude on marginal technologies in electricity wholesale from public data. Both approaches are complementary, easy to implement, and based upon assumptions which are commonly used in more complex energy system models. We exemplify their use with a policy example on the compensation for indirect emission costs from the EU Emissions Trading Scheme. We find that the current policy design severely overweighs CO 2 emissions from lignite power plants in the Central Western European power market, which may lead to overcompensation of industrial power users and therefore to a distortion with regard to the policy’s stated goal.
电力价格中包含多少碳?这个问题的答案决定了气候政策的许多经济后果,即下游产业的成本。然而,它要求首先确定碳定价对电力市场上定价实体的成本影响。经济理论告诉我们,电价是由边际电厂的成本决定的。我们提出了两种简单的方法来从公共数据中总结电力批发的边际技术。这两种方法是互补的,易于实现,并且基于通常用于更复杂的能源系统模型的假设。我们以欧盟排放交易计划的间接排放成本补偿政策为例说明了它们的使用。我们发现,目前的政策设计严重高估了中欧和西欧电力市场褐煤电厂的二氧化碳排放量,这可能导致工业电力用户的过度补偿,从而扭曲了政策的既定目标。
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引用次数: 5
Development a Mathematical Model of Acoustic Signals for the Implementation of a Universal Leak Detection Method 为实现通用泄漏检测方法,建立声学信号的数学模型
Pub Date : 2020-04-27 DOI: 10.15587/1729-4061.2020.201110
O. Monchenko, Yelyzaveta Kutniak, Hanna Martyniuk, Nadiia Marchenko
A universal mathematical model of a noise signal in pipeline systems from the point of its origin to the observation point was presented. Due to the indicator function introduced into it, the model makes it possible to use different types of components and perform appropriate actions depending on the task, and the indicator function in some cases will be zero. The developed model advantage consists in that it is universal for the leak detection methods which use two signal receivers regardless of their physical nature. This model was implemented in the study on an example of a method of acoustic leakage detection, which uses the inter-correlation function. A block diagram of an acoustic system for detecting leakage location, its main blocks, and their parameters were presented. To test the working capacity of the mathematical model, a computer measuring experiment was conducted in the MATLAB software system. The algorithm of the computer experiment with indicator function was presented and the results of detecting leakage location according to the corresponding sample were given. A universal formula for calculating coordinates of the fluid leakage location both along the axis of the pipeline and the pipeline circumference was presented. This formula features accounting of the distance from the transducer to the possible leakage location and the sample number. This formula serves a universal model of the noise signal and confirms the results of the computer experiment. As a result of the experiment, dependences of the values of the fluid leakage location on the sample number and the distance to the receiver of the acoustic noise signal were obtained. To test the model adequacy, a diagram of influential factors was constructed in a form of Ishikawa diagram. The diagram shows the cause-and-effect relationships that affect the computer experiment built on the proposed mathematical model of acoustic signals to implement the universal method of leak detection. Adequacy of the proposed universal model was verified and confirmed by statistical methods. The results obtained can be used in technical diagnostics of pipelines and for reducing costs of repair and restoration of technological systems by identifying breakdown sites.
提出了管道系统中噪声信号从源点到观测点的通用数学模型。由于在模型中引入了指示函数,因此可以根据任务使用不同类型的组件并执行相应的操作,并且在某些情况下指示函数将为零。所开发的模型的优点在于,它是通用的泄漏检测方法,使用两个信号接收器,而不管其物理性质。该模型以一种利用相关函数的声泄漏检测方法为例进行了研究。给出了泄漏位置声学检测系统的框图、主要模块及其参数。为了检验该数学模型的工作能力,在MATLAB软件系统中进行了计算机测量实验。提出了带指示函数的计算机实验算法,并给出了根据相应样品检测泄漏位置的结果。提出了沿管道轴线和管道周长计算流体泄漏位置坐标的通用公式。该公式的特点是计算了从传感器到可能泄漏位置的距离和样品数量。该公式可作为噪声信号的通用模型,并证实了计算机实验的结果。实验结果表明,流体泄漏位置值与采样数和到噪声信号接收端距离的关系。为了检验模型的充分性,我们以石川图的形式构建了影响因素图。该图显示了影响计算机实验的因果关系,该实验建立在声学信号数学模型上,以实现通用的泄漏检测方法。用统计方法验证了通用模型的充分性。所得结果可用于管道的技术诊断,并通过确定故障点来降低技术系统的维修和恢复成本。
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引用次数: 0
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Politics & Energy eJournal
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