基于LEAP模型的扩容规划研究

N. K. Rayaguru, K. Karunanithi, S. S. Dash, P. Chandrasekar, Savita M. Bani
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引用次数: 1

摘要

电能是人类生活不可缺少的组成部分。电能的使用日益增加,因此,提前规划未来的电力系统,以最低的成本以合理的可靠性水平满足预期的需求增长是很重要的。目前,可再生能源发电因其无污染、零燃料成本等特点在发电中占有重要地位。本文试图为印度阿萨姆邦设计未来的电力系统。在目前的电力系统中,电力主要来自不可再生能源,这增加了温室气体(GHG)排放,从而导致全球变暖。考虑到污染影响,可再生能源,如风能、太阳能、生物质能,用于规划阿萨姆邦未来的电力系统,使用远程能源替代规划系统(LEAP)软件。拟议的产能扩张计划在2019年至2030年的未来12年进行。在这项工作中,与LEAP单独开发的各种情景是温室气体减缓情景、低需求增长情景和高需求增长情景。除此之外,还考虑了参考场景。在所有这些情景中,对系统装机容量和百年全球变暖潜势进行了定量研究。
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Investigations of Capacity Expansion Planning Using LEAP Model
Electrical energy is an essential and integral part of human life. The use of electrical energy is increasing day by day and therefore it is important to plan a future power system well in advance to meet the expected demand growth with a reasonable reliability level at minimum cost. Nowadays, renewable power generation plays an important role in power generation since, it is pollution free and zero fuel cost. In this paper an effort is made to project a future power system for Assam, an Indian state. In the present power systems, the electricity is generated mainly from non-renewable energy sources which increase greenhouse gases (GHG) emission and hence global warming. Keeping in mind about pollution impacts, renewable energy sources like wind, solar, biomass for the planning a future power system of Assam using long range energy alternative planning system (LEAP) software is considered. The proposed capacity expansion is planned for next twelve years from 2019 to 2030. In this work, the various scenarios developed separately with LEAP are Greenhouse gas mitigation scenario, Low demand growth and High demand growth scenarios. In addition to these, reference scenario has also been considered. In all these scenarios the system installed capacity and one-hundred-year global warming potential have been investigated quantitatively.
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