通过国际组织克服历史——欧盟支持和欧洲怀疑主义的历史根源

Kai Gehring
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引用次数: 2

摘要

几乎没有因果证据表明,支持权力从民族国家向国际组织转移的根深蒂固的根源。本文以欧盟为研究对象,提出了一个假设,即公民越欣赏国际组织在约束成员国方面的作用,他们所在地区在历史上受到民族国家行为的负面影响就越大。为了进行识别,我使用了法国历史上同质的阿尔萨斯和洛林地区作为自然实验。市政层面的地理回归不连续设计证明,更多的负面影响导致欧盟在三次重要公投中的支持率持续上升,而欧洲怀疑主义政党在议会选举中的成功程度更低。这种影响不是由语言差异、移民、社会经济因素或公共产品提供驱动的,而是与更强的欧洲认同有关。这种更强的认同既不能用经济利益来解释,也不能以削弱国家或地区认同为代价。
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Overcoming History through International Organizations – Historical Roots of EU Support and Euroscepticism
There is little causal evidence about deep-rooted sources of support for shifting power from nation-states to international organizations. Focusing on the European Union, this paper develops the hypothesis that citizens appreciate the role of international organizations in constraining member-states the more, the more negatively their region was historically affected by the actions of nation-states. For identification, I use the historically homogeneous regions of Alsace and Lorraine in France as a natural experiment. A municipal level geographical regression discontinuity design documents that more negative exposure led to persistently higher EU support in three important referenda and less success of Eurosceptic parties in parliamentary elections. This effect is not driven by linguistic differences, migration, socio-economic factors or public good provision, but linked to a stronger European identity. This stronger identity is neither explained by perceived economic benefits, nor comes at the expense of a weaker national or regional identity.
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